Supreme Court. Trump will likely have 2 or 3 picks

[Coach]

Trump's first pick to replace Scalia will likely be nominated within the first 100 days of his presidency. Trump will likely pick one of the conservatives on his list under the age of 60 and is 99% likely to have that person confirmed. This will give conservatives a 5-4 edge over liberals.

But what happens after that?

Ruth Bader Ginsburg. 83. She was named by Bill Clinton.

Anthony Kennedy. 80. Appointed by Reagan.

Stephen Breyer. 78. Appointed by Bill Clinton.

The odds are at least one of these judges will pass, or retire, perhaps two by 2020. Ginsburg is the oldest and has had major illness issues. The best guess is she is replaced next. Kennedy has the luxury of retiring if he wants to . Breyer if he wants to help the liberal cause does not. In the 2018 election, more Democrats have to defend their seats than Republican in the Senate, which is who confirms the supreme court picks.



Clarence Thomas is 68, likely to stay on for a while longer.



The following justices are least likely to be replaced due their age:


Samuel A. Alito, Jr age 66, appointed by Bush

Sonia Sotomayor Age 62, appointed by Obama

John G. Roberts age 61, appointed by Bush

Elena Kagan Age 56, appointed by Obama