Courtesy of AI
The Strengths: Why they’re 12–5
- The #1 Scoring Defense: DeMeco Ryans has built a monster. They finished the regular season allowing just 16.6 points per game (1st in the NFL).
- A Lethal Pass Rush: Danielle Hunter (14.5 sacks) and Will Anderson Jr. (12 sacks) are a nightmare for older QBs. They will be pinning their ears back to get to Aaron Rodgers.
- Shutdown Secondary: Derek Stingley Jr. is playing at an All-Pro level, and rookie Kamari Lassiter has been a draft-day steal. They thrive on turnovers (tied for the league lead in INTs).
- The "Clutch" Factor: C.J. Stroud has led four game-winning drives this season. Even if the Steelers lead late, he doesn't rattle.
The Weaknesses: Where the Steelers can win
- The "Porous" Offensive Line: This is their Achilles' heel. Stroud was sacked 52 times this season (one of the highest in the league). T.J. Watt and Alex Highsmith should have a massive day if they can exploit the Texans' backup tackles.
- Struggling Run Game: Despite having Joe Mixon and Nick Chubb, their rushing DVOA ranks near the bottom of the league (29th). If the Steelers stop the run early, they make the Texans one-dimensional.
- The "Young" Mistakes: While Stroud is elite, he has struggled when blitzed this year, leading to some uncharacteristic multi-INT games in December.
- Kicking Game: While Ka'imi Fairbairn is reliable, the Texans have struggled in "clutch" special teams coverage, giving up two return TDs this season.