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The Coronavirus thread

What is the meat situation like where you guys live? Here it’s pretty scarce. Wal-Mart has put a limit on what you can buy- but their meat department has been empty for days. Local chain affiliated with Kroger isn’t putting a limit on what you can buy (yet), but all the good meats are gone. Can’t find a steak. The pork selection in both stores is bleak. Chicken is ok in Dillons, but non existent in Wal Mart. Is this the new normal??

Bullshit and you know it. TROG told us the truth. What you're seeing is make believe.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/inve...c2b010-84dd-11ea-878a-86477a724bdb_story.html

We don't have supplies for corona, but at least we have 2.8 billion worth of small pox vaccine. Can't remember the last time I had small pox, I guess when I did, it effected my memory.

Clearly it affected your grammatical skills. I hope you have an editor - a good one - for your #1 Selling NYT Best Seller...we...still...wait...for.
 
What is the meat situation like where you guys live? Here it’s pretty scarce. Wal-Mart has put a limit on what you can buy- but their meat department has been empty for days. Local chain affiliated with Kroger isn’t putting a limit on what you can buy (yet), but all the good meats are gone. Can’t find a steak. The pork selection in both stores is bleak. Chicken is ok in Dillons, but non existent in Wal Mart. Is this the new normal??

All I know is I'm having a hard time finding Mac's, Original Chicharrones, Pork Cracklins, 6.25 oz Bag. Love these things.
 
c6280ycliuw41.jpg
 
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
So, Fauci and Birx are concerned that states are reopening without meeting their gating requirements according to interviews conducted over the weekend and then on Monday IHME magically updates their numbers to almost DOUBLE the expected fatalities...who again is driving the models? Seems to me the models are nothing more than a tool used by Fauci and Birx to enlist panic for people to agree with them. They show Indiana as projecting over 6,000 deaths when we are currently at 1,200. The fear mongering is unreal. If I were Trump, I would drop Fauci like a bad habit...every time he opens his mouth in an interview he contradicts everything that Trump and Pence are saying.
https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/2020/05/anthony-fauci-no-scientific-evidence-the-coronavirus-was-made-in-a-chinese-lab-cvd/
 
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Everything being shown today is guess work. Look where the past guesswork has gotten us.
 
When we were sane

Even the NYT was somewhat sane...

https://www.aier.org/article/elvis-...dent-and-116000-americans-died-in-a-pandemic/
Elvis Was King, Ike Was President, and 116,000 Americans Died in a Pandemic

Jeffrey A. Tucker | May 4, 2020

The year was 1957.

Elvis’s new movie “Jailhouse Rock” was packing the theaters. The last episode of “I Love Lucy” aired on television. The show “West Side Story” held tryouts in Washington, D.C., and opened on Broadway in September. Ford’s new car the Edsel rolled off the assembly line. The Cold War with Russia was on and “In God We Trust” appeared on U.S. currency. The first Toys R Us store opened.

Also that year, the so-called Asian Flu killed 116,000 Americans. Here is the full summary from the Centers for Disease Control:

In February 1957, a new influenza A (H2N2) virus emerged in East Asia, triggering a pandemic (“Asian Flu”). This H2N2 virus was comprised of three different genes from an H2N2 virus that originated from an avian influenza A virus, including the H2 hemagglutinin and the N2 neuraminidase genes. It was first reported in Singapore in February 1957, Hong Kong in April 1957, and in coastal cities in the United States in summer 1957. The estimated number of deaths was 1.1 million worldwide and 116,000 in the United States.​

Like the current pandemic, there was a demographic pattern to the deaths. It hit the elderly population with heart and lung disease. In a frightening twist, the virus could also be fatal for pregnant women. The infection rate was probably even higher than the Spanish flu of 1918 (675,000 Americans died from this), but this lowered the overall case fatality rate to 0.67%. A vaccine became available in late 1957 but was not widely distributed.

The population of the U.S. at the time was 172 million, which is a little more than half of the current population. Life expectancy was 69 as versus 78 today. Even with shorter lives, it was a healthier population with lower rates of obesity. To extrapolate the data to a counterfactual, we can conclude that this virus was more wicked than COVID-19 thus far.

What’s remarkable when we look back at this year, nothing was shut down. Restaurants, schools, theaters, sporting events, travel – everything continued without interruption. Without a 24-hour news cycle with thousands of news agencies and a billion websites hungry for traffic, mostly people paid no attention other than to keep basic hygiene. It was covered in the press as a medical problem. The notion that there was a political solution never occurred to anyone.

Again, this was a very serious flu, and it persisted for 10 years until it mutated to become the Hong Kong flu of 1968.

The New York Times had some but not much coverage. On September 18, 1957, an editorial counseled: “Let us all keep a cool head about Asian influenza as the statistics on the spread and the virulence of the disease begin to accumulate. For one thing, let us be sure that the 1957 type of A influenza virus is innocuous, as early returns show, and that antibiotics can indeed control the complications that may develop.”

Screen-Shot-2020-05-04-at-9.52.11-AM-1-300x507.png


The mystery of why today vast numbers of governments around the world (but not all) have crushed economies, locked people under house arrest, wrecked business, spread despair, disregarded basic freedoms and rights will require years if not decades to sort out. Is it the news cycle that is creating mass hysteria? Political ambition and arrogance? A decline in philosophical regard for freedom as the best system for dealing with crises? Most likely, the ultimate answer will look roughly like what historians say about the Great War (WWI): it was a perfect storm that created a calamity that no one intended at the outset.

For staying calm and treating the terrible Asian flu of 1957 as a medical problem to address with medical intelligence, rather than as an excuse to unleash Medieval-style brutality, this first postwar generation deserves our respect and admiration.
 
A vast number of American sheeple cannot stand up for themselves any more. They follow orders like good little children, even when being put at risk of irreparable economic devastation.

Can't go to work, go to the beach, get a haircut, play sports, go to church, hold social gatherings, celebrate birthdays, attend funerals??? "Thank you, sir, may I have another restriction?"

Embarrassing.
 
A vast number of American sheeple cannot stand up for themselves any more. They follow orders like good little children, even when being put at risk of irreparable economic devastation.

Can't go to work, go to the beach, get a haircut, play sports, go to church, hold social gatherings, celebrate birthdays, attend funerals??? "Thank you, sir, may I have another restriction?"

Embarrassing.

It’s the “new normal.”
 
So do the mass quarantines of the healthy and non-susceptible work? No, they don't. They just DON'T. Specifically, Sweden had no mass lockdown, businesses continued, gatherings of up to 50 people allowed, restaurants remained open, etc. Result?

Death rate of 283 per million of population, or LESS than that of Netherlands, France, UK, Italy, and Spain, all of which imposed stringent lockdowns.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Further, seven states in the United States - North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Iowa, Arkansas, Utah and Wyoming - issued NO stay-at-home order and had no lockdown.

https://www.businessinsider.com/us-map-stay-at-home-orders-lockdowns-2020-3?op=1

The results?

Wyoming: 101 cases per 100,000 population
North Dakota: 161 per 100k
South Dakota: 302 per 100k
Nebraska: 306 per 100k
Iowa: 307 per 100k
Arkansas: 115 per 100k
Utah: 168 per 100k

https://datausa.io/coronavirus

The national average? 355 per 100k in population.

Total Confirmed Cases per Capita
Use the map to select individual states.
355 Cases per 100k in the USA
as of Monday, May 4th


https://datausa.io/coronavirus

In other words, for the mathematically impaired, EVERY state with NO LOCKDOWN has a LOWER INCIDENCE of Covid infection THAN THE NATIONAL AVERAGE, i.e., the combination of all states, the vast majority of which instituted a lockdown. If we removed the non-lockdown states, the infection rate in fact moves up to 378 per 100k citizens, while the non-lockdown states combined have a rate of approximately 284 per 100k citizens.

378 > 284

"Well, okay, but what about deaths? Yeah, that's the ticket, those non-lockdown freaks are dying like bees facing Murder Hornets, I bet!!" Not so much. Actual death rates, updated to yesterday:

Wyoming: 1.21 deaths per 100,000 population
North Dakota: 3.29 per 100k
South Dakota: 2.38 per 100k
Nebraska: 4.04 per 100k
Iowa: 5.96 per 100k
Arkansas: 2.69 per 100k
Utah: 1.58 per 100k

The national average death rate, where the vast majority have instituted the lockdowns, is 19 deaths per 100,000 population. Nineteen. One-nine. The number after eighteen and before twenty.

Or three to twelve times HIGHER than the non-lockdown states.

AS IN HIGHER DEATH RATES FOR LOCKDOWN STATES, AS IN MORE.

Science. Somebody should make Congress understand it.

And then douse a large number in kerosene and light them on fire.
 
I bet Iowa's numbers are inflated because our cities are liberal enclaves and the scare tactics are strong. Thank goodness for governor Reynolds.
 
Further, seven states in the United States - North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Iowa, Arkansas, Utah and Wyoming - issued NO stay-at-home order and had no lockdown.

The national average death rate, where the vast majority have instituted the lockdowns, is 19 deaths per 100,000 population. Nineteen. One-nine. The number after eighteen and before twenty.

Or three to twelve times HIGHER than the non-lockdown states.

I think it's more a matter that if you're in a densely populated state you're more likely to get it and therefore die from it since it spreads easier among more people.
It's why NY and NJ have the most cases, NJ is our most densely populated state and in NY most of the cases are in NYC. Just like in PA the vast majority of the cases are in Philly.
 
I think it's more a matter that if you're in a densely populated state you're more likely to get it and therefore die from it since it spreads easier among more people.
It's why NY and NJ have the most cases, NJ is our most densely populated state and in NY most of the cases are in NYC. Just like in PA the vast majority of the cases are in Philly.

Then lock down the urban areas and let the rest of us live our lives.
 
A vast number of American sheeple cannot stand up for themselves any more. They follow orders like good little children, even when being put at risk of irreparable economic devastation.

Can't go to work, go to the beach, get a haircut, play sports, go to church, hold social gatherings, celebrate birthdays, attend funerals??? "Thank you, sir, may I have another restriction?"

Embarrassing.

Baaaaaa say the sheep. It’s time for the rebellion to start. Time for mass protests, time for the people to say “**** your fat cat” govt ***** sitting by while our country, our people crumble. I have been lucky, I have my job,...far to many have been ****** for nothing more than a nasty flu. I wanna go out. I wanna go out without a condom on my head. You know sometime when I **** I go bareback, my call.
 
Public health officials admit Covid death numbers are inflated…

Nooooo, the death counts are accurate!

<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/OqJDo3dThNY" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen></iframe>
 
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I think it's more a matter that if you're in a densely populated state you're more likely to get it and therefore die from it since it spreads easier among more people.

But here are the facts:

Sweden is comparable to Michigan in population density, no lockdown, Michigan asinine lockdown, Sweden fewer deaths per capita.

There simply is no correlation between lockdown and the number of infected. None. States with no lockdowns have universally done BETTER than states with a lockdown.

The "population density" argument would make sense only if the states had equal measures in place. But if a lockdown was effective, then after late March, when the lockdowns went into effect, the states with a lockdown would have fewer cases per 100,000 citizens, a lower growth rate than the non-lockdown states, and the non-lockdown states would have higher than average rates of infection and deaths due to more people getting exposed and getting sick.

That has not happened for the simple reason that even without some asinine, illegal order from a governor, the elderly and the ill have not exposed themselves in Utah, Nebraska, Iowa, etc. The healthy have continued to travel and work. The outcome is a lower infection and lower death rate than the lockdown states, not due to population density but because lockdowns have almost no effect on infection and death rates.

That is the case because we still go to the gas station, stores, banks, use the same electronic pads as everybody else, touch counters and conveyor belts, etc. in the "lockdown." We get exposed.

And bankrupted of course, but no worries. Politicians and news anchors are still getting rich.

Finally, even if the population density argument wins, then why is any STATE on lockdown?? How about sections of cities? Portions of Counties? Why in the hell should Central California be treated like Shitwater, ehhh, LA?

Makes no sense, never made sense, doesn't work, never worked, data prove it's all a big lie.
 
Here’s what should have happened. Minus the whole China being truthful thing yeah that would have helped.

Lock down for a couple weeks. Learn about, gather actual facts. At this point most knew a lot about the virus, who was most affected, recovery rates (est because it’s early), etc. not saying we know everything that will take years but we knew it wasn’t Ebola.

Open back up. Your healthy, no health issue, no X markers that put you at high risk. Go out. Get infected. If your sick (goes without saying PRIOR to this, stay the **** home)...get the antibodies. Help protect the herd. If your at risk, stay home... sick stay home.

Jobs. Have risk assessments done. Sick, temps ...etc. testing is now readily available. Test employees. (However this is a false narrative because you test today and your clear doesn’t mean tomorrow you get it).

High risk places like nursing homes need to do what we are currently doing. These are the highest risk.
 
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A vast number of American sheeple cannot stand up for themselves any more. They follow orders like good little children, even when being put at risk of irreparable economic devastation.

Can't go to work, go to the beach, get a haircut, play sports, go to church, hold social gatherings, celebrate birthdays, attend funerals??? "Thank you, sir, may I have another restriction?"

Embarrassing.

Screw that. We had a great weekend with our friends from New Jersey last weekend. Spent the time going out in the boat, eating out and generally not giving a rats *** about the politically overblown flu.

F fear...Life is too short as it is to spend it bunkered down waiting for the end.
 
All is not coming up roses in da Burgh....I see

May 5, 2020 Contact: Sam DeMarco
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE 412.370.1737



PITTSBURGH – Allegheny County Republican Chairman Sam DeMarco today issued the following statement regarding Gov. Wolf’s decision to continue a business shutdown in Allegheny and other southwestern Pennsylvania counties.


I’m here today to tell Governor Tom Wolf that, we the people of Allegheny County, have done our part. Now it’s time for him to do his.

We accepted and went along with the initial closings because we were told it was necessary to flatten the curve and protect our healthcare systems from being overwhelmed.

We understood our policy makers were working with limited data and cooperated fully while the models were proven wrong again and again.

But now it’s time to start reopening Allegheny County and allowing those that can, to go back to work.

Every day brings more suffering and despair. Every day means the end of one or more businesses and the jobs they provided through no fault of their own.

It’s time to go back to work. We’re not naive. We understand changes will have to be made. We realize practicing better hygiene, social distancing and masks may become a “new normal” for the foreseeable future.

But yet, the Governor refuses to lift his stay at home order and what’s worse, refuses to provide us with adequate information as to why.

I’m here today because it is time for someone to call out the Wolf administration and its allies for the feckless and dishonest way they have been handling the current public health crisis.

From the secrecy surrounding the way they have handed out business closure waivers to a lucky few, to the unreliable count of actual COVID cases, Governor Wolf is quickly losing the trust of the people he governs.

The governor insists his decisions are ‘data-driven.’ He and his political friends say we must ‘believe in science’ in how we behave. In fact, people who question his judgment are derided as extremists or ‘science-deniers.’

These are easy positions to take when you are still receiving a handsome salary funded by the very people whose jobs you have taken away. It’s easy to counsel patience when you’re not the one hurting.

And it’s easy to invoke an emergency as a reason to defy state open records laws, even as the records sit in a computer file that can be shared with the press of a button.

Let’s look at the data, starting with the governor’s.

The day after protests began, the governor’s Secretary of Health added 269 deaths to the statistics only to have to remove 201 of them a few days later after questioning from County Coroners.

This was not the only adjustment, just the largest. These “corrections” are happening repeatedly.

So, we know there are problems with the math. What about the science?

What exactly is the science or the data driving these decisions? And what is the science we are to believe?

Unfortunately, we don’t know. For weeks, Wolf has refused repeated requests to release the data behind his shutdown order.

He has also ignored lawmakers’ requests for transparency and blocked the media and public from looking at these numbers.

Instead, the Wolf administration, with the acquiescence of his allies here, has treated Allegheny County as if it were Philadelphia and Montgomery.

We’re not. Our own numbers are vastly different and warranted a very different approach.

Let’s look at the data that is available to the public.

To date as of May 4, Allegheny County has conducted 18,502 tests with only 1,365 positives, or 7.4% of those tested.

Of those testing positive, only 240 of those required any hospitalization.

We’ve had 102 deaths of which 79 were from long term care facilities. The average age of those who died is 84.

Of these 102 deaths, more than 95% were elderly and all with co-morbidities.

UPMC’s Doctor Donald Yealy has made the case that the real death rate for this virus may be as low as 0.25% - far lower than the mortality rates cited earlier in this pandemic. He based this upon a very conservative estimate of residents already exposed to the virus in keeping with results from antibody testing in other areas like New York and California.

We know who we need to protect: our elderly and those with underlying medical conditions.

This can be done without applying a straight jacket to the entire economy.

It’s easy for a comfortable bureaucrat with a steady income to deride the frustrated people who take to the streets to demand an end to their despair. People enamored of their own power usually miss the point when protests begin.

Consider this tweet by the press officer for Jay Costa, the Senate Minority Leader. A few days before the protests began outside the state Capitol, she posted this:

“Hundreds of science-deniers are descending on my workplace to make a political point,” she writes.

“I understand being frustrated and wanting to get back to work and normalcy, but Monday’s rally is an attack. It’s an attack on legislators who are going to the Capitol, on state government staff, on Capitol security, and truly – on each of the participants in this nonsense.”

The author of this message earns $99,000 a year, is pension-eligible, and enjoys medical coverage unavailable to many of the people she ridicules as “science-deniers.”

She can profitably work at great distance from others because she has not been socially distanced from a handsome salary.

And her party says it understands the needs and dreams of the working class.

And by the way – on the days she comes into the Capitol – it’s safely locked down and unavailable to the public, much less protesters. This was just an example of the class-warfare being waged on working families.

Ignoring the pain of others is easy for a governor who doesn’t have to face the voters again.

But I have a warning for his enablers in the legislature.

You will face the voters again. This November.

You need to stop making excuses.

People are without jobs. At least a half million of them can’t even get through to a broken-down unemployment compensation system to obtain the benefits they paid for.

Thousands of small businesses might never reopen.

It’s time recognize that we are facing a pandemic as deadly as COVID. It’s called despair. And the only cure is to open up the records so the press and public can examine how you decided who works and who doesn’t.

If you’re right, the documents will show it.

If you’re wrong, or have greatly overstepped, then do the right thing, and reopen the economy here in Allegheny and southwestern Pennsylvania.

You might have stripped working families and small businesses of their incomes, but you have not taken away their votes.

It’s time to reopen Allegheny County now. Consider this a warning
 
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