Paul Zeise: To our surprise, the Steelers might not be the cream of the crop in the AFC
September 26, 2016 12:00 PM
By Paul Zeise / Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
Two weeks ago, after the Steelers manhandled the Redskins in their opener, many of us, me included, said it was a validation of what we thought all summer — that the Steelers are the team to beat in the AFC.
Yeah, about that prediction...
To be honest, I wanted to write this Friday after watching the Patriots punish the Texans — a likely playoff team — Thursday night with Jacoby Brissett playing quarterback and Julian Edelman as his backup. But I didn’t want to be too reactionary, so I figured I’d wait to see what the Steelers did on Sunday in Philadelphia against the Eagles before I asked for forgiveness and a do-over.
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And about 10 minutes into that game, it was pretty clear the Patriots and Broncos are better than the Steelers right now.
That’s not to say the Steelers can’t get to the Super Bowl or won’t get better and be there at the end; it just means the Steelers have a lot of work to do.
Meanwhile, the Patriots are without Tom Brady (serving a four-game suspension for something about deflating footballs, destroying a cell phone and lying about it) and are 3-0 and will likely to get to 4-0 as they play Rex Ryan and the lowly Bills at Gillette Stadium this Sunday.
One of the reasons for optimism about the Steelers ability to get to the Super Bowl this year was the idea that they would be able to win home field advantage over the Patriots. The thought was they would be able to gain a couple of games in the standings on the Patriots, who no doubt would start 2-2 or even 1-3 without Brady, and the Steelers would get to 4-0 or 3-1.
But not only are the Steelers not going to have a lead over the Patriots at the end of Brady’s suspension, they are probably going to be trailing by at least one game — two if they don’t handle business against the Chiefs Sunday.
And that’s not to mention the Broncos, who are much better than advertised and play in a bad division, and will likely only get better as their young quarterback Trevor Siemian gets more comfortable and gains confidence.
Yes, the Ravens are 3-0, but let’s not lose our minds; they have squeaked out wins over three lousy teams, and I’m not buying them as much more than an 8-8 team.
This is all abstract stuff at this point as there is a lot of football left. But the bottom line is all of you suffering from Patriots and Broncos fatigue are probably not happy today because those two teams are not going anywhere.
That’s not something, though, the Steelers should be worrying about. They have plenty of their own issues to clean up before they start dreaming of a seventh Lombardi Trophy.
It would be easy to overreact to Sunday’s loss, but I won’t, mostly because when a team has a complete meltdown and plays just so poorly in every aspect of the game, I’m generally willing to say “bad day at the office.”
There are a few trends, though, that probably should be monitored over the next few weeks as we try to figure out just how good the Steelers are and what their ceiling is.
I still maintain they are a Super Bowl contender and no worse than the third best team in the AFC, but I like their chances less if you are going to tell me their road would include a playoff trip to either Sports Authority or Gillette or both. But here some things that need to change in a hurry:
The offensive line has to play better than it has the past two weeks, and that’s troublesome because the line was supposed to be a strength. But the unit, after dominating the Redskins in the opener, took a step back against the Bengals and a larger step back Sunday against the Eagles.
This unit was supposed to be the best that Ben Roethlisberger has played behind and still can be, but they were manhandled by the Eagles, and if Ramon Foster is out for any amount of time, it could really be trouble.
One would figure this unit is too good to not play better and thus shouldn’t be an area of concern, but they’ve got to find consistency and play as well as they are capable of playing week in and week out.
The same can be said about Roethlisberger, as he hasn’t played well the last two weeks, either. Maybe it isn’t a coincidence that he has struggled when the line has struggled.
Roethlisberger is a Hall of Fame quarterback, so the standards for him are higher than others, but he hasn’t played at that level and the offense has sputtered. But, of course, he is really good, so it is a safe bet to assume he will pull it together and have another great season.
He also hasn’t gotten a lot of help from his receivers, another unit that was supposed to be among the best in the NFL, but perhaps Markus Wheaton was just rusty and needs to get back into game shape and get his timing back.
Those things are troublesome because the offense was supposed to be a given, the unit that led the way and dominated opposing defenses. I still believe it can be, so I’m not ready to write them off.
The defense is a different story, because we can see a pattern developing. They can’t get to the quarterbacks and aren’t good at covering the short passing game, and looking at the talent in place, I’m not sure what we saw Sunday was completely a mirage.
The outside linebackers are just average in terms of rushing the passer, and that includes James Harrison, who used to be all-world but is becoming the latest victim of Father Time.
I have no doubt Harrison will have one or two of those Fountain of Youth games where he dominates and creates havoc in the backfield, but those games are fewer and fewer as he is reaching the end of his career.
Injuries did hurt the linebacker corps Sunday, but that always seems to be the issue with Ryan Shazier, and given his body type, I fear that is always going to be an issue with him.
But the linebackers have to play better, especially against the pass and rushing the passer. If not, what Carson Wentz did to the Steelers defense Sunday will be a blueprint for how to beat them. The defense was shredded the week before by Andy Dalton but did a good job of shutting it down in the red zone and keeping the Bengals out of the end zone.
That wasn’t the case Sunday, and it is a legitimate concern that maybe that defensive game plan can be exploited by accurate quarterbacks who are good at the quick passing game.
I’m willing to wait a few more weeks because I think the defense can pull it together, but I’ll be interested to see what adjustments Keith Butler can make to continue to hide some of the shortcomings in personnel.
This was one game, a bad game, an ugly game, so there is no reason to overreact, but that doesn’t mean there weren’t some things we saw in this game that shouldn’t raise an eyebrow or two.
The Steelers are too good of a team to play a game like this, and if it is the only stinker they have all year, nobody will remember it by the time the playoffs roll around.
But they need to play much better than this or they will find themselves not only falling way behind the Broncos and Patriots, but maybe even struggling just to make the playoffs.
I can’t imagine that’s going to happen and still expect them to win their division and compete for home field advantage. But then again, I couldn’t imagine they would go to Philadelphia and get boat raced by Wentz, either.
There are no guarantees, and games aren’t won on paper; they have to be won on the field.
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