First of all the polls ahve been notoriously bad this year... believe none of them till they figure out the new demographics... secondly i have now had several hardcore democrstic friends say they will vote republican for the first time rather than back sanders.
That is the elephant in the room, of course... that there are so many older democrats totally prejudiced against socialist because they relate it to communism that it might be the one way Trump gets elected... a capitailist that used to be a democrat and independant and who is only running as a republican out of a deal he brokered with them is far more palatable than an idealist and openly socialist man who hasnt exactly been a party insider. look the nutjob democrats who follow them like we follow the Steelers would vote for hitler if nominated by their party, just like the nutjob Republicans. After that it gets far more complex this year... Trump wont get the latino vote, but the 90% of the non latino democrats in most of the state where it matters are likely voting for him, and that includes a lot of democrats. Hell if Bloomburg runs as an independant that takes New york away from the democrats, there is a legit scenerio where the 35% of trump voters actually wins this thing for him
That is the elephant in the room, of course... that there are so many older democrats totally prejudiced against socialist because they relate it to communism that it might be the one way Trump gets elected... a capitailist that used to be a democrat and independant and who is only running as a republican out of a deal he brokered with them is far more palatable than an idealist and openly socialist man who hasnt exactly been a party insider. look the nutjob democrats who follow them like we follow the Steelers would vote for hitler if nominated by their party, just like the nutjob Republicans. After that it gets far more complex this year... Trump wont get the latino vote, but the 90% of the non latino democrats in most of the state where it matters are likely voting for him, and that includes a lot of democrats. Hell if Bloomburg runs as an independant that takes New york away from the democrats, there is a legit scenerio where the 35% of trump voters actually wins this thing for him