My opinion, I think re-signing Fields and making him QB1 was the best option. It's not like Wilson was good down the stretch.FWIW, I wanted us to resign Fields. Not because I thought he'd get us out of this get in as a WC and not be competitive in the playoffs. Because I figured he'd be ~ $10MM less than other options. Wasn't the case with Wilson. But I do think we'll end up paying Rodgers more than Wilson got (but less than the crazy numbers that were originally reported he wanted).
I think it's true that how Fields was handled likely hurt. One of the things I really liked about Fields was how good a team mate he was even after he was put back on the bench. My guess is that Fields wasn't made any promises though. I think Wilson was. And I think this is a case where we should have made a change there late in the season.
But I also think we pretty much know for certain that there would be less guaranteed money in whatever contract we offered. And when it's reported that the Steelers were "close" to the Jets offer, it also suggests that the AAV and total money were less.
So it's an easy call to take the deal with more total money, more guarantees, and a team that didn't piss you off last year. I tend to believe that players will take the money (especially guarantees) almost every time though.
Impossible to know the truth though.
Shades is too risk averse at this point to gamble on a younger QB though. He'll sell the farm to guarantee 9 wins and not risk having 9 losses with a young QB and/or aggressive play calling. I think signing A-Arod is his way of getting that playoff win that's eluded him for 8 years.