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What will be our record this year?

But, but...special teams is so highly valued by Tomlin.
Let me rant on this.. special teams does not make up a third of the game… on average its under 1/5th of the game. Last year 17% of our plays happened on special teams…

Lets round up and say it’s a fifth of the game… of that fifth of a game, about a fifth of that is field goal kicking, which is basically offense with a couple players switched out…

Of the rest, half are returns and the other have are return defense… because these aspects have been minimized in the current game, the actual statistic impact of them is miniscule.

Depending on the team, Somewhere around 40 to 80% of kickoff returns are touchbacks and 20 to 30% of punts are fair caught.

Its easy to get caught up in the yardage stats, but here is the bottom line a bad kickoff or punt coverage unit aren’t going to vary a lot from a great one. A bad unit might surrender 1 or 2 tds a year and factor in on a couple of other scores, but even good units occasionally do that as well… the average starting position for great punt and kick return units will usually be in the 26-30 yard range… bad units will be in the 22-25 yard range…

I can’t discern the advantage of keeping more than one or two coverage specialists for special teams over a higher end backup at a key position like Olb…

Especially when you look at graphs for our special teams the past half decade or so… they are chronically average to below average
 
6-10 or 7-9 without Ben. Tomlin gets exposed for a mediocrity this season.

I don't understand that one. We were mediocre with Ben quite a few times.
 
9-8 keeps everyone slobbering over Tomlin's regular season winning record.
Embarrassed in a wildcard game, post season embarrassment continues.
 
8-9. The Standard finally officially falls. But the future looks bright for KP and Najee with a major commitment to O-line in off-season.
 
I think the QB situation is better than thought before training camp. Still believe this OL will cost us more games than win. We have some quality positions players on offense but still the line same as last year, bad. I want to be wrong but with this schedule 7-10
 
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I like all the hope you guys have, but find it unrealistic. KP will get his shot this year, my guess is about game 8 when they are almost out of contention.
Tomlin does not have his HOF ”safety blanket”, so right off the bat he doesn’t have the 5-6 wins Ben gets him on his own. They will also make knee jerk reactions, with both Mitch and KP trying to save his non-losing season.

I am going to say 7-10, though I honestly believe it will be 6-11.

Mitch 2-7
Pickett 3-3
Rudolph 1-1
We lost Ben after the second game back in '19...he wasn't a security blanket then and we still JUST MISSED the playoffs.
 
6-11…I can’t get onboard with that disaster of an OL. With an average OL I would go 9-8.
 
7-10 at best. Poor offensive line, run defense continues to be a problem. Team will score points, but will have to win via shootouts in the majority of their 7 wins.
I am going to flip the script and say 10 -7 with a playoff win..then a loss.

😁
 
C’mon, there’s good reason to believe that Trubisky is better than the 2021 version of Ben.
No there isn’t. If he were solid, he would not be on his 3rd team. Especially one that has a HC with ZERO history of salvaging a QB‘s career.
 
We lost Ben after the second game back in '19...he wasn't a security blanket then and we still JUST MISSED the playoffs.
They missed the opportunity to lose a playoff game because Ben wasn’t there to pull games out of his ***.
 
No there isn’t. If he were solid, he would not be on his 3rd team. Especially one that has a HC with ZERO history of salvaging a QB‘s career.
Using that logic, Mason Rudolph must be really solid, because he's only been with one team.

They missed the opportunity to lose a playoff game because Ben wasn’t there to pull games out of his ***.
Since compiling a passer rating of 103.3 in 2014, Ben's two best ratings in any season were 96.5 (2018), and 95.4 (2016). Trubisky's two best seasons were 95.4 (2018) and 93.5 (2020), quite comparable. Ben's rating last year was 86.8, with zero mobility. Trubisky's career number is higher than that at 87.0, which includes a tough rookie season, plus he can make plays with his feet.

As usual, people overvalue what Ben brought to the table last year. Like it or not, Trubisky is an upgrade over the 2021 version of Roethlisberger.
 
No there isn’t. If he were solid, he would not be on his 3rd team. Especially one that has a HC with ZERO history of salvaging a QB‘s career.
Ben’s last Pro Bowl: 2017
Trubisky’s last Pro Bowl: 2018

Ben wasn’t very good last year, don’t kid yourself.

Kurt Warner, Jim Plunkett, Doug Williams all won Super Bowls after leaving other teams.
 
7-10, I think.

Our o-line is a disaster.
I think our skill positions on offense are very good, but the line will make them look bad.
Our DBs, other than Fitzpatrick, are questionable.
Our LBs, other than Watt, are questionable.
Our d-line, other than Heyward, is questionable.

It all depends on how well our DBs play, and can Highsmith and Jack play well enough to hide Devin Bust...

And of course, how many games is our hall of fame coach going to cost us this year?
 
I'm going with 10-7 or 9-8. Either would be a success. Very tough schedule after the 4th game.

I'm actually more concerned about our defense than our offense. If they have games like last season it could get bad.
 
I am going to flip the script and say 10 -7 with a playoff win..then a loss.

😁
from your lips to God's ear, my friend
danny-tanner-full-house.gif
 
7-10 unfortunately.

We have a solid defense that will tire out in too many games because our POOR O line play will result in way too many 3 and out situations.

This usually causes lopsided time of possession for the opposing team and tends to wear out the defense.

My goodness, Ray Mansfield would be a SuperStar on this O line!
 
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