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Why Trump will win

Also, I think the polling is doing a horrible job of tracking what is likely to happen to the 4.5 million votes cast for Gary Johnson and Bill Weld. The Libertarian candidate got less than 1 million votes in 2012, and I think the same will happen in less than two weeks.

So where do those 3.5 million votes go? Pollsters are too dumb and lazy to ask. I can tell you for ******* sure that 2 of those votes - belonging to me and my wife - are going to Trump in 2020 in a state that matters, Arizona.

3.5 million votes ... if 70% go Trump - something I am admittedly just spit-balling here - then that is 2.4 million total votes for Trump. Those votes could turn Nevada, New Hampshire, Minnesota and possibly even Colorado, which Hildabeast won by 136,000 votes in 2016 and where Gary Johnson earned 144,000 votes.
 
Also, I think the polling is doing a horrible job of tracking what is likely to happen to the 4.5 million votes cast for Gary Johnson and Bill Weld. The Libertarian candidate got less than 1 million votes in 2012, and I think the same will happen in less than two weeks.

So where do those 3.5 million votes go? Pollsters are too dumb and lazy to ask. I can tell you for ******* sure that 2 of those votes - belonging to me and my wife - are going to Trump in 2020 in a state that matters, Arizona.

3.5 million votes ... if 70% go Trump - something I am admittedly just spit-balling here - then that is 2.4 million total votes for Trump. Those votes could turn Nevada, New Hampshire, Minnesota and possibly even Colorado, which Hildabeast won by 136,000 votes in 2016 and where Gary Johnson earned 144,000 votes.

I was a Johnson vote. Now fully onboard the Trump train.
 
Florida and Ohio, yes. Pennsylvania, no.

And Pennsylvania may be in play as well, especially after last night. Also heard more people in Philly tuned in to the Eagles game than tuned in to watch Sleepy Joe last night. That very well may be because they already know who they're voting for, or many are starting to tune this decrepit ghoul out.

Likely the former, but hope springs eternal.
 
I was a Johnson vote. Now fully onboard the Trump train.

Well there you go!! My polling data shows that 100% of the Libertarian vote turning to another party is going for Trump!!

Know what the problem is? I have done more research on a pretty key issue than the ******* polling companies. How many guesses do you need as to why?
 
And Pennsylvania may be in play as well, especially after last night. Also heard more people in Philly tuned in to the Eagles game than tuned in to watch Sleepy Joe last night. That very well may be because they already know who they're voting for, or many are starting to tune this decrepit ghoul out.

Likely the former, but hope springs eternal.

By the way man, I haven't commented yet on your avi. I love it, much respect. My Great Grandfather WWII Marine Vet. RIP (Semper FI). My Uncles, Airforce(ATC), Navy(Intelligence), Marines (Not sure, I think grunt). Cousin, Marine (Desert Storm Purple Heart recipient) My sister was in the Army and my father served 23 years in the Air Force as a Special Agent (NCIS for the Air Force). Me, I tried but asthma kept me out. Was going to enlist into the Army, special forces. Killed my ASVAB but failed the medical.
 
Well there you go!! My polling data shows that 100% of the Libertarian vote turning to another party is going for Trump!!

Know what the problem is? I have done more research on a pretty key issue than the ******* polling companies. How many guesses do you need as to why?
I think none. They are not interested in the Libertarian Conservatives. How'd I do?
 
I'm hearing that Nevada may be in play too.

Nevada is very much in play but it doesn't have enough EVs for Trump to concentrate much time there. MN is in play as well but it's so blue that it would take tons of time, money and effort just to "maybe" win it. That's why Trump isn't really fighting for it. Right now Biden is living in the rust belt. Especially PA. But if the ballot request by party is correct from what I've seen he's in trouble in all those states. Dems are horribly under performing not only in rust belt states but in most states. It won't matter in CA, NY, IL, Vermont ETC... but it will matter in Florida, Georgia, AZ, Iowa, and the Rust belt states.
 
Nevada is very much in play but it doesn't have enough EVs for Trump to concentrate much time there. MN is in play as well but it's so blue that it would take tons of time, money and effort just to "maybe" win it. That's why Trump isn't really fighting for it. Right now Biden is living in the rust belt. Especially PA. But if the ballot request by party is correct from what I've seen he's in trouble in all those states. Dems are horribly under performing not only in rust belt states but in most states. It won't matter in CA, NY, IL, Vermont ETC... but it will matter in Florida, Georgia, AZ, Iowa, and the Rust belt states.

You know Iowa really surprises me. I grew up there and the whole time we lived there it was Red, but that was the 80's. About 10 years ago we went back for a family reunion and I was appalled at how much crime and drug use had risen. I grew up specifically in Cedar Rapids and Marion, its completely different now. It's sad 'cause I hoped to move back there one day. Now I have my eyes on South Dakota or Texas.
 
You know Iowa really surprises me. I grew up there and the whole time we lived there it was Red, but that was the 80's. About 10 years ago we went back for a family reunion and I was appalled at how much crime and drug use had risen. I grew up specifically in Cedar Rapids and Marion, its completely different now. It's sad 'cause I hoped to move back there one day. Now I have my eyes on South Dakota or Texas.

Trump will win Iowa. Iowa was red back in the 70s and early 80s. Then it flipped blue in the late 80s, all the 90s and 2000. Red for Bush against Kerry then voted for Obama twice before voting for Trump in 16. IMHO Trump will win Iowa by 5% give or take a point.
 
Trump will win Iowa. Iowa was red back in the 70s and early 80s. Then it flipped blue in the late 80s, all the 90s and 2000. Red for Bush against Kerry then voted for Obama twice before voting for Trump in 16. IMHO Trump will win Iowa by 5% give or take a point.

Lol, I didn't realize he won it last cycle. DOH!
 
By the way man, I haven't commented yet on your avi. I love it, much respect. Was going to enlist into the Army, special forces. Killed my ASVAB but failed the medical.

I never enlisted either. Great grandfather WWI though (Army), grandfather WWII (Navy), uncle (Navy) and dad (Marine Corps), combat engineer in Vietnam. I was close to enlisting actually and then I told my old man and he gave me a stare and stern talking to I'll never forget.

His experience was obviously not a good one, with Hanoi Jane and the rest rooting on the enemy and then spitting in his face when he got home from hell. My grandfather had a pretty incredible experience in WWII though. It was revealed to us on his 80th birthday party (he kept it to himself that long), but he was on the USS Bismarck Sea (CVE-95) when it was attacked and sank by Japanese Kamikazes, and 300+ of his brothers in arms died, but he was spared. He and a handful of other guys were stranded out at sea for what he thought was 48 hours before they were rescued, and he told us that he saw the blessed Virgin Mary in the sky (likely hallucinating) right before they were rescued.

They were escorted to the shore of Iwo Jima right as they were raising the flag there. My uncles and dad were so floored when he told everyone (he actually had everything written down in a journal as well that he passed out to all of us there) as he never spoke of anything of WWII for years that they didn't even know he was on that carrier. Apparently that was the last carrier that sunk in WWII.
 
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I grew up specifically in Cedar Rapids and Marion, its completely different now. It's sad 'cause I hoped to move back there one day. Now I have my eyes on South Dakota or Texas.


You should consider the Chino Valley area of AZ, I understand this is the area people immigrate to.
 
I never enlisted either. Great grandfather WWI though (Army), grandfather WWII (Navy), uncle (Navy) and dad (Marine Corps), combat engineer in Vietnam. I was close to enlisting actually and then I told my old man and he gave me a stare and stern talking to I'll never forget.

His experience was obviously not a good one, with Hanoi Jane and the rest rooting on the enemy and then spitting in his face when he got home from hell. My grandfather had a pretty incredible experience in WWII though. It was revealed to us on his 80th birthday party (he kept it to himself that long), but he was on the USS Bismarck Sea (CVE-95) when it was attacked and sank by Japanese Kamikazes, and 300+ of his brothers in arms died, but he was spared. He and a handful of other guys were stranded out at sea for what he thought was 48 hours before they were rescued, and he told us that he saw the blessed Virgin Mary in the sky (likely hallucinating) right before they were rescued.

They were escorted to the shore of Iwo Jima right as they were raising the flag there. My uncles and dad were so floored when he told everyone (he actually had everything written down in a journal as well that he passed out to all of us there) as he never spoke of anything of WWII for years that they didn't even know he was on that carrier. Apparently that was the last carrier that sunk in WWII.

Thank-you for sharing. My Grandfather never shared any of his stories and we were told not to ask. I imagine it was hell on earth for him. May God bless all of our soldiers who fought and served this nation.
 
You should consider the Chino Valley area of AZ, I understand this is the area people immigrate to.

Quite a few people (ST) remark & rave about central Arizona and I'm anxious to at least visit and see some of the beautiful mountains and lakes people wouldn't normally associate and think of with Arizona. I even watched a ton of videos and did my research on Prescott that I knew it was once the capital of AZ when you mentioned it! Until 1864 IIRC? Anyways, I even know some of the damn street names in historic downtown and some of her notable past residents.

I think it's going to be time for a visit there soon.
 
Thank-you for sharing. My Grandfather never shared any of his stories and we were told not to ask. I imagine it was hell on earth for him. May God bless all of our soldiers who fought and served this nation.

Amen. Not sure why I shared that myself now that I think more about it, but absolutely may God bless every one of our men and women who ever fought for this great nation or served in any capacity. The best of us all.
 
Trump doesn't need PA. He can win Florida, Ohio, AZ and either MI, MN or WI and still win. National polls mean nothing. If Trump is even with in 3 nationally he'll win enough swing states to win the presidency. I've seen some of the internal polls along with the early voting tabs. The dems are already under performing 2016 models. Unless something changes in the next few days Trump will win Florida by 2-3%, AZ by 3-5% and Georgia by 2-3%.

Much like the 2005 and 2008 Steelers, Trump is peaking at the right time.
 
Much like the 2005 and 2008 Steelers, Trump is peaking at the right time.

If the new polls about black approval of Trump is anywhere close Trump could win in a landslide. I don't believe Trump will get 46% of the black vote. But if he gets 15% it's game over for Biden. Not only will Trump be taking votes from Biden but the analytics show black votes are down overall. So with both those in play Biden will be getting a smaller percent of a smaller voter block. Also I saw Obummer in Florida. He's on a street corner talking to about 15 people. No one else was even paying attention to him.
 
You know Iowa really surprises me. I grew up there and the whole time we lived there it was Red, but that was the 80's. About 10 years ago we went back for a family reunion and I was appalled at how much crime and drug use had risen. I grew up specifically in Cedar Rapids and Marion, its completely different now. It's sad 'cause I hoped to move back there one day. Now I have my eyes on South Dakota or Texas.

It's the same here as in a lof of "blue" states where the larger cities are dim and rural areas are completely red.
 
It's the same here as in a lof of "blue" states where the larger cities are dim and rural areas are completely red.

I've been thinking a lot about how the U.S. has been changing over the years. At once I thought that the U.S. would split into separate states boundaries but recently I've been thinking about city states instead. What if cities could vote to separate themselves and become independent city states? The U.S. would be almost entirely red except for a handful of cities (NY, Washington, Chicago, LA, SF, ETC).

I haven't thought enough about it but it came to me not too long ago. I'm sure the logistics would be difficult but it would be better than dividing the entire U.S. along state lines.
 
I think the democrats are so unhinged now over everything Trump the outsider has done and exposed, that things like adding states and packing the court are realistically in play.

If they continue to use Trump as the reason to do these drastic measures and upset the balance to our Republic, it's possible half the country will just go right along with it (because democrats never think long term, only instant emotional feedback and satisfaction).
I'm afraid even if Trump loses, and he is long gone, the powers that be working to control Biden will push for all these drastic things to so-called "fix" the terrible things Trump has done. Censorship disguised as cracking down on "hate speech and fake news", adding Washington D.C. as a state and then packing the Supreme Court with 2 more liberal justices could all happen in the next 4 years.

And I'm not sure any of those things are easily fixed or undone. It is much easier to add a state than to get rid of one. Appointments to the court are life long and you have to wait until someone dies/leaves to reduce the number again (I'm not even sure how that would work). Censorship laws would take years to rises to Supreme Court review which is now packed by Democrats.

It's a scary thought that I'm unsure voters will truly understand the ramifications of because they will continue to focus on "Orange Man Bad".
 
I think the democrats are so unhinged now over everything Trump the outsider has done and exposed, that things like adding states and packing the court are realistically in play.

If they continue to use Trump as the reason to do these drastic measures and upset the balance to our Republic, it's possible half the country will just go right along with it (because democrats never think long term, only instant emotional feedback and satisfaction).
I'm afraid even if Trump loses, and he is long gone, the powers that be working to control Biden will push for all these drastic things to so-called "fix" the terrible things Trump has done. Censorship disguised as cracking down on "hate speech and fake news", adding Washington D.C. as a state and then packing the Supreme Court with 2 more liberal justices could all happen in the next 4 years.

And I'm not sure any of those things are easily fixed or undone. It is much easier to add a state than to get rid of one. Appointments to the court are life long and you have to wait until someone dies/leaves to reduce the number again (I'm not even sure how that would work). Censorship laws would take years to rises to Supreme Court review which is now packed by Democrats.

It's a scary thought that I'm unsure voters will truly understand the ramifications of because they will continue to focus on "Orange Man Bad".

I was actually just thinking about the censorship that we're bound to face eventually. They have the technology to trace it too, so conversations like this in 10 years might be deemed not in line with the state and away you or your friends go or they are deemed racist, white supremacist, etc etc. Thus people are afraid to speak their minds. Very scary times are ahead and so many people cannot see it.

All many are interested is in their video of their cat or kid or what they had to eat being liked...Fk we're in trouble.
 
I was actually just thinking about the censorship that we're bound to face eventually. They have the technology to trace it too, so conversations like this in 10 years might be deemed not in line with the state and away you or your friends go or they are deemed racist, white supremacist, etc etc. Thus people are afraid to speak their minds. Very scary times are ahead and so many people cannot see it.

All many are interested is in their video of their cat or kid or what they had to eat being liked...Fk we're in trouble.


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Trump is running zombie Joe Biden commercials on Fear The Walking Dead.
 
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