No, we don't know that. The facts that we have so far (presented above which you ignored) say they won't.
Those are beliefs, and this is a belief issue. Your article was full of beliefs. Numerous times they said things like 'facts show' without showing any facts. Funny, that. From your article:
" “Over 200 municipalities and 18 states have nondiscrimination laws protecting transgender people’s access to facilities consistent with the gender they live every day,” according to the coalition. "None of those jurisdictions have [sic] seen a rise in sexual violence or other public safety issues due to nondiscrimination laws. Assaulting another person in a restroom or changing room remains against the law in every single state.”
Strangio also noted that allowing transgender people to use the bathroom corresponding to their gender identity “doesn’t increase in any way public safety incidents.”"
Where are the facts supporting that statement? I can make the statement that jurisdictions are seeing a rise in sexual violence and say it's a fact just as easily. Saying it is a fact without facts doesn't make it a fact.
"Laura Palumbo, communications director at the National Sexual Violence Resource Center, told ABC News that people who are looking to sexually assault someone will go into a bathroom regardless if it corresponds to their gender. “It’s problematic to conflate in examples when a person, who is not transgender identified, is trespassing in a restroom exploiting that position to harm others,” she said." -- Again, this is her belief. Not a fact.
"Palumbo said she believes people “must understand the facts about sexual assault,” adding that in 8 out of 10 cases the victim already knows the person who sexually assaulted them, citing Justice Department statistics. However, 64 percent of transgender people will experience sexual assault in their lifetime, she said, citing a study by the National Gay and Lesbian Task Force and National Center for Transgender Equality." -- while these are facts, they aren't tied to the entire issue. Men that surreptitiously film women in locker rooms don't know the victims. Nor does the man exposing himself to the girl's swim team. Or countless other examples. Her 'facts' are a very specific use of stats in a very narrow view of the total harm that can come from these situations - assaults only. This is about far more than just assaults.
"“All the data and all the evidence shows protecting transgender people only increase public safety,” Strangio said. He said laws like House Bill 2 imply “that fundamentally people just don’t think of transgender people as humans, and they try to erase trans people from existence.” " -- again, this is a belief. Saying it is a fact, doesn't make it a fact. I've never read an article with data that shows that by protecting transgender people, EVERYONE sees an increase in safety. Without facts, this is still a stated belief.
Because A) the world is not swarming with sexual predators just waiting for a legal opening to attack strangers as some of you seem to think and B) people who want to assault people will find places to do it, legal or illegal places, they don't care. Assaulting people is already illegal. A public bathroom isn't a fortress protected by heavy security. Anyone can walk into one at any time dressed any way they want.
And we've been round and round on this issue, and you won't seem to acknowledge these facts. 5 years ago, if a man walked into a woman's restroom, immediate reaction would have taken place. Screams, yells, women running from the restroom, a call for security. That would have happened in restrooms, dressing rooms, and showers five years ago. To deny this would be laughable. Now, men may walk in and no one can say a word. The dynamic of entry has changed (fact). Anyone objecting stands the chance of being labeled a bigot, raising a false alarm, or worse yet being sued for discrimination. These are realities. Five years ago, a man dressed any way he wanted walking into a female pool shower and showering in a communal shower would have yielded police being called. That's not deniable.
LOL, Tim that's a ridiculous and fallacious request and you know it. People using the bathroom without incident generally does not make the news, no articles I can cut and paste about it, but you know and I know it happens hundreds, probably thousands of times a day.
I don't find it laughable at all. You're asking that we provide evidence that open door policies will and are causing problems. When we provide countless and endless examples, you dismiss them as anecdotes. When we present logic, you accuse of us hating transgender people. Since you won't accept real examples, real news articles, and basic logic, and say 'if you can't prove it it's not true' then I ask you in reverse to support your stance with facts - not opinion articles by people saying 'facts show' without there being any facts included.
Every weekend in this country, mothers and fathers council young teenage females as follows - "You know there are going to be boys at this party. There may be alcohol. We know what boys want. Just be careful. There's a high likelihood you may be approached, or God forbid, potentially raped in a situation like this. Alcohol + boys + parties can be a dangerous mix." Good parenting. Preaching caution.
God forbid we say "You know there may be men now entering your showers at school, or the dressing rooms at Target. There are plenty of predators out there looking to prey on the vulnerable. You're vulnerable in those situations. Beware."
