I hate the idea of president trump but you are sorely off on this one... Lets break it down... We know that republicans hate the obama presidency...
And yet they didn't turn out for The Mormon in 2012. And Mitt had nowhere near the acrimony aimed at him by his own party that Trump does. I'm not saying they'll go Hillary, I'm saying they're not going to turn out for a hated carpetbagger like Trump if they wouldn't for a consensus pick like Romney.
We know that a two term president hated by the other side leads to a huge voter turnout for the opposition side and apathy from the incumbant...
Again, not true. Not true in 88, not true in 2000, and probably not true in 2016. People don't like Hillary, but they are actively afraid of Trump. The angry little men who are so loud in supporting him are no kind of majority in America. They're not even a majority of their own party.
Zero republicans will vote for hillary...
That's not even close to being true.
Hispanic Republicans Like Clinton And Sanders More Than Trump
They will vote for anyone over her....on the other hand trump outplays her with moderate blue collar democrats... My own brother, who fits that description, is voting for trump over hillary... Of you want ill break down the demographics and show you why hillary is ******...
I think Trump will win white males. I said that already. But so did McCain and so did Romney. Without Hispanics, Blacks and women it will be meaningless. And in those demographics, Trump isn't just losing. he's getting stomped by Hillary.
She is mcCain and trump is obama... Everyone will expect him to lose but he is going to clump weird voters to win... Especially in some democratic strongholds
Obama had a ground swell that was broad based. Even conservative pillars like Peggy Noonan and George Will endorsed him back in 2008. People across the country felt his presidency would be transformative. Trump has a limited number of VERY angry supporters, many of which have alienated the party base. I know you don't like to hear that, but it's true. He simply isn't going to manage a coalition within his own party, much less bring in anything more than a token number of democratic supporters.
The only math that likely will matter is the swing states of Florida and Ohio. I could see Trump winning both those states while losing the popular vote and becoming the next POTUS.
I can see Trump winning Florida, but never Ohio. Florida has a low/middle working class white population that is likely to come out for him. But he's not even going to win his home state of NY. He'll get killed in the traditionally blue northern states and, as Ted Cruz proved, Trump has a
REAL CHANCE of losing Texas to the Hispanic vote. If Trump loses Texas nothing else matters. It's game over.