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Mail-in ballots, used for the first time nationwide, THIS election? Uh-oh.
Vote-by-mail experiment reveals potential problems within postal voting system ahead of November election
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/covid-19-vote-by-mail-ballot-counted-election/
21% of ballots still not there after one week, and 3% of ballots simply ... gone after two weeks. Disappeared. Vanished. And how many that reach the registrar or Secretary of State are simply tossed due to errors on the ballot? New Jersey's experience with a city council election, with mail-in ballots only, showed that 19% - repeat, 19 freaking percent - of mail-in ballots were tossed due to errors or irregularities with the ballots:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/a...is_charged_in_nj_mail-in_election_143551.html
So to sum up ... mail-in ballots lost, misplaced, missing, tossed, thrown out, etc. at a rate of at least 3% and as much as 21%.
What effect would just 4% have on a national election? It would change the outcome:
1. Michigan 0.3 percent
Trump 47.6 percent, Clinton 47.3 percent
Difference: 13,080 votes
2. New Hampshire 0.4 percent
Clinton 47.6 percent, Trump 47.2 percent
Difference: 2,701 votes
3. Wisconsin 1 percent
Trump 47.9 percent, Clinton 46.9 percent
Difference: 27,257 votes
4. Pennsylvania 1.2 percent
Trump 48.8 percent, Clinton 47.6 percent
Difference: 68,236 votes (99 percent reporting)
5. Florida 1.2 percent
Trump 49 percent, Clinton 47.8 percent
Difference: 114,455 votes
6. Minnesota 1.5 percent
Clinton 46.4 percent, Trump 44.9 percent
Difference: 44,470 votes
7. Nevada 2.4 percent
Clinton 47.9 percent, Trump 45.5 percent
Difference: 26,434 votes
8. Maine 2.7 percent
Clinton 47.9 percent, Trump 45.2 percent
Difference: 19,995 votes
9. North Carolina 3.8 percent
Trump 49.9 percent, Clinton 46.1 percent
Difference: 177,009 votes
10. Arizona 3.9 percent
Trump 49.3 percent, Clinton 45.4 percent
Difference: 91,682 votes
https://www.usnews.com/news/the-run...14/the-10-closest-states-in-the-2016-election
That is the sole reason why (D)ims are so greased up about mail-in ballots: They control the vote count. "It's not the vote that counts, it's who counts the votes."
Vote-by-mail experiment reveals potential problems within postal voting system ahead of November election
Mail-in voting, for many, is as simple as sending a letter, but rules vary across the country for when a voter can get their ballot and when it should be returned. In 2016, more than 73,000 out of 33 million mail-in ballots arrived too late to be counted.
Many Americans are expected to vote by mail for the first time in November 2020 because of coronavirus concerns, so "CBS This Morning" sent out 100 mock ballots, simulating 100 voters in locations across Philadelphia, in an experiment to see how long one should give themselves to make sure their vote counts.
"We're gonna see somewhere between probably 80 and 100 million voters receiving their ballot that way," former Arizona election official Tammy Patrick told "CBS This Morning" co-host Tony Dokoupil. Patrick is now a senior adviser for the elections program at Democracy Fund.
For the experiment, a P.O. box was set up to represent a local election office. A few days after the initial ballots were mailed, 100 more were sent.
The mock ballots used the same size envelope and same class of mail as real ballots, and even had mock votes folded in to approximate the weight. The biggest difference: real mail-in ballots have a logo that is meant to expedite them. "CBS This Morning" was unable to include those the trial.
A week after initial ballots were sent, most ballots appeared to be missing from the P.O. box.
"I don't see anything back there for you," a postal worker told Dokoupil when he received the mail. "That's all I have back there right now." After asking for a manager and explaining the situation to them, the votes were found. "They had them somewhere else," the postal worker said.
Then, another problem — missorted mail.
"We got a birthday card from Mike to Ronnie," Dokoupil said, as he read a postcard mistakenly placed in "CBS This Morning's" P.O. box. "Have a sweet b-day. Get it? There's a bee on top."
The postcard, along with another piece of missorted mail, was then sent to the correct recipient.
Out of the initial batch mailed a week earlier, 97 out of 100 votes had arrived. Three simulated persons, or 3% of voters, were effectively disenfranchised by mail by giving their ballots a week to arrive. In a close election, 3% could be pivotal.
Four days after mailing the second batch of mock ballots, 21% of the votes hadn't arrived.
According to Postal Service recommendations, "voters should mail their return ballots at least one week prior to the due date."
However, nearly half of all states still allow voters to request ballots less than a week before the election.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/covid-19-vote-by-mail-ballot-counted-election/
21% of ballots still not there after one week, and 3% of ballots simply ... gone after two weeks. Disappeared. Vanished. And how many that reach the registrar or Secretary of State are simply tossed due to errors on the ballot? New Jersey's experience with a city council election, with mail-in ballots only, showed that 19% - repeat, 19 freaking percent - of mail-in ballots were tossed due to errors or irregularities with the ballots:
In the City Council election, 16,747 vote-by-mail ballots were received, but only 13,557 votes were counted. More than 3,190 votes, 19% of the total ballots cast, were disqualified by the board of elections. Due to the pandemic, Paterson’s election was done through vote-by-mail.
Mail-in ballots have long been acknowledged by voting experts to be more susceptible to fraud and irregularities than in-person voting. This has raised concerns from President Trump and other Republicans about the integrity of national elections in November, which are expected to include a dramatic increase in mail-in ballots. If Paterson is any guide, it ought to concern Democrats as well.
Over 800 ballots in Paterson were invalidated for appearing in mailboxes improperly bundled together – including a one mailbox where hundreds of ballots were in a single packet. The bundles were turned over to law enforcement to investigate potential criminal activity related to the collection of the ballots.
The board of elections disqualified another 2,300 ballots after concluding that the signatures on them did not match the signatures on voter records.
Reporting by NBC further uncovered citizens of Paterson who are listed as having voted, but who told the news outlet they never received a ballot and did not vote. One woman, Ramona Javier, after being shown the list of people on her block who allegedly voted, told the outlet she knew of eight family members and neighbors who were wrongly listed. “We did not receive vote-by-mail ballots and thus we did not vote,” she said. “This is corruption. This is fraud.”
There were multiple reports that large numbers of mail-in ballots were left on the lobby floors of apartment buildings and not delivered to residents’ individual mailboxes, further casting doubt on the integrity of the election.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/a...is_charged_in_nj_mail-in_election_143551.html
So to sum up ... mail-in ballots lost, misplaced, missing, tossed, thrown out, etc. at a rate of at least 3% and as much as 21%.
What effect would just 4% have on a national election? It would change the outcome:
1. Michigan 0.3 percent
Trump 47.6 percent, Clinton 47.3 percent
Difference: 13,080 votes
2. New Hampshire 0.4 percent
Clinton 47.6 percent, Trump 47.2 percent
Difference: 2,701 votes
3. Wisconsin 1 percent
Trump 47.9 percent, Clinton 46.9 percent
Difference: 27,257 votes
4. Pennsylvania 1.2 percent
Trump 48.8 percent, Clinton 47.6 percent
Difference: 68,236 votes (99 percent reporting)
5. Florida 1.2 percent
Trump 49 percent, Clinton 47.8 percent
Difference: 114,455 votes
6. Minnesota 1.5 percent
Clinton 46.4 percent, Trump 44.9 percent
Difference: 44,470 votes
7. Nevada 2.4 percent
Clinton 47.9 percent, Trump 45.5 percent
Difference: 26,434 votes
8. Maine 2.7 percent
Clinton 47.9 percent, Trump 45.2 percent
Difference: 19,995 votes
9. North Carolina 3.8 percent
Trump 49.9 percent, Clinton 46.1 percent
Difference: 177,009 votes
10. Arizona 3.9 percent
Trump 49.3 percent, Clinton 45.4 percent
Difference: 91,682 votes
https://www.usnews.com/news/the-run...14/the-10-closest-states-in-the-2016-election
That is the sole reason why (D)ims are so greased up about mail-in ballots: They control the vote count. "It's not the vote that counts, it's who counts the votes."