FWIW re: Arizona:
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Top-level Republicans in Arizona still insisting that the state is very much in play (PA plus AZ, while holding NC and GA, would get Trump over the top)</p>— Rich Lowry (@RichLowry) <a href="https://twitter.com/RichLowry/status/1324026090759901184?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 4, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">AZ early am update. Maricopa County overnight was a pickup of ~50,000 votes for Trump. Biden lead is now ~90k with ~520k ballots out there. A 60-40 Trump split of those ballots would put Trump ahead by ~10k. Trump has been winning the count 60-40 or better since late last night. <a href="https://t.co/ETEUAom9Ie">pic.twitter.com/ETEUAom9Ie</a></p>— Chris Buskirk (@thechrisbuskirk) <a href="https://twitter.com/thechrisbuskirk/status/1323999972610564096?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 4, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>