Its fine to be aggressive, but again there is a risk/reward assessment that has to be done.
I think its great that the staff recognized a flaw in their punt coverage, but lets break this down piece by piece:
1. It wasnt 4th and 5 or something, it was 4th and 15...
2. The LOS was the 16.
3. The Washington offense hadn't done anything at that point
4. The Ball was being thrown from a Safety to a Cornerback
5. It was the first quarter and they only had a one score lead
Lets say it completes. He likely gets tackled almost immediately. So they get a first down right around the 35... this is a typical drive start location. It still has a low probability to generate any points
If it doesn't work, the Ex-skins get the ball in the Red zone. This is almost certainly giving them 3 points with a high probability of a tying td
You would NEVER want a coach to risk a 4th-1 at their own 16 in the 1st quarter with a 1 score lead, so you dont risk this
I get it was a read/audible.. but you save that attempt till you are out of tge red zone and your d has a fighting chance if you dont make it
As with all strategy, there are dynamic components.. if we are down late or up big such gambles become more reasonable
Later in the game, the strategy was really good... but this was poor for a variety of reasons...
Even had it succeeded, it still would have been a bad bet. It was like the early 4th down attempt behind our own 40 in the indy game... a kneejerk gamble with low reward and high risk.
Part of it could be not adjusting success ratios for the defensive downturn in the league of the past couple years. Its not quite as slanted in the offenses favor so too aggressive isnt the boon as it used to be...
Look at the Bengals and their coach as a good example...
They should have held this off until the down and distance was shorter, and the los was ten or more yards further from the end zone.
It wasnt like that was going to be the only punt that game...