Ripped from Ogre:
Spot.....the ......****.......on
Why Trump will win
- Thread starter FSF
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Spot.....the ......****.......on
If the chinesevirus didn’t strike they had NOTHING. Nothing.
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But it did happen, and his most recent response was "Covid, Covid, Covid. That's all they want to talk about". I'm obviously paraphrasing. Whether or not you feel he bears any responsibility for the current state of affairs, when it has caused, or has been a contributing factor in, the death of 1/4 million Americans, I fail to see the upside in those kinds of comments. Where is the "win"? I would be willing to bet those comments did not buy him a single vote, and probably cost him many. My suspicion is that there are many similar examples.
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Stainless, fault for 'Rona deaths fall squarely & solely on governors. We are a federation of states and the president is not empowered to dictate how each state handles their 'Rona response.
Trump is utterly blameless for those deaths.
Trump is utterly blameless for those deaths.
That’s the problem. The media has made this a DT virus, China is never mentioned. Why? He stopped **** ASAP when the scientist said, dims”come to China town”- media he didn’t do anything. And on and on and on. Media control over weak minds
The media may have made this a DT issue, but they may have killed themselves by politicizing COVID...
Did Democrats suppress their own voters with COVID fearmongering?
The left has remade our society, economy, and interpersonal relationships through irrational fear of a virus and illogical worship of social isolation as a panacea. Well, what if they did such a good job convincing people that they will die if they go out and stand on line to vote that they have suppressed their own voters? Remember, it's mainly liberals who believe in the cult of COVID lockdowns. Well, evidence from early voting data throughout the country hints at such a remarkable electoral phenomenon unfolding.
The story is the same in many critical areas. While we don't know the ballot choices of those who voted early, we do know the party registration breakdown in most states. And in nearly every critical state, Republicans are doing much better than they did in 2016 in terms of in-person early voting. Given that Trump won in 2016 and the electorate will only get more favorable for Republicans on Election Day itself (because the majority of Democrats vote early), this portends an outcome way out of sync with the majority of polls.
Nowhere is this more evident than in Florida. Republicans are downright winning in-person early voting in terms of turnout by voter registration in Miami-Dade County, one of the state's most liberal jurisdictions. Yes, Democrats did bank a lot of mail-in votes, but because Republicans are doing so well with in-person early voting, they are ahead of their 2016 benchmarks in nearly every critical county — and remember, Trump carried Florida in 2016. Democrats are now faced with the prospect of trying to make a last-minute effort for people to vote in person in south Florida because the mail-in ballots came up short.
But it turns out that the mail-in campaign is the problem for Democrats. The large number of mail-in votes is unlikely bringing in new voters. Democrats are cannibalizing their in-person vote through record numbers of mail-ins. Sure, many of them answered the call to fill out their ballots through the mail, but they are clearly not enjoying a 1-1 ratio with their typical in-person voting. One would expect — with record mail-in ballots from Democrats — they'd be crushing Republicans, at least in terms of turnout by voter registration, headed into Election Day voting. However, despite all that cannibalization of their base in-person voting, they are actually behind their 2016 numbers! They fired all the bullets in their gun and are poised to lose.
The Democratic governor in Wisconsin sounded the alarm about the failure of mail-in ballots to turn out all their voters they need just to stay on par with 2016. At a press conference on Friday, Gov. Tony Evers warned Democrats to vote in person, not by mail. They are discovering the obvious fact that if even 10%-20% of their traditional base throw out their paper mail, which is very common in this day and age, they will lose their baseline votes unless they turn them out on Election Day.
There's just one problem: It's too late. By definition, most of the people in this country who have refused to leave their homes for seven months are Democrat voters. Democrats have done such a good job at convincing people they will die from the virus that they have fearmongered themselves into electoral oblivion.
As of Sunday, the composition of the ballots cast so far in the Badger State was 43% Republican and 35% Democrat. An R+8 advantage in early voting is simply astounding, given that, according to exit polls, Democrats had a +1 advantage overall in 2016. It's possible that Republicans are also cannibalizing more of their Election Day vote than usual as early voting becomes more universal, but it's very unlikely that the electorate would suddenly become more Democratic on Election Day itself. No wonder the Wisconsin governor is sounding the alarm.
In North Carolina, Democrats are going into Election Day with a 17% smaller registration edge among votes already cast than they did in 2016, despite the massive mail-in ballot campaign. And remember, Trump still carried the state in 2016 by nearly four points.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Democrats had 310k advantage in NC early voting 4 years ago and still lost. Now it’s 256,784. <a href="https://t.co/4QpXxTdDPR">https://t.co/4QpXxTdDPR</a></p>— Steve Deace (@SteveDeaceShow) <a href="https://twitter.com/SteveDeaceShow/status/1323057485700308994?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 2, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
A similar dynamic is playing out in Michigan, where Republicans lead Democrats 41%-39% in early voting turnout. Overall, Democrats enjoyed a nine-point edge in turnout in 2016, when Trump carried the state by the slimmest of margins. What's more, Republican turnout is nearly tied with Democrats in the critical Detroit suburb of Oakland County, a county Trump lost last time by eight points.
The problem with so many of the polls is that they were predicated on Democrats doing much better in early voting. Take the most recent Fox News Wisconsin poll, for example, which had Biden up by five points. The poll showed a massive edge for Democrats when mail-in and early voting is combined.
However, we know that is this already not true because Republicans have an eight-point edge in combined early voting turnout. It's true that not all mail-in ballots have been returned as of Sunday, but Fox's turnout projection model is nowhere near the reality of the current early voting/mail-in ballot count.
In Pennsylvania, there is no in-person early voting — only mail-in voting — so naturally, Democrats have a strong edge in turnout of returned ballots so far. But again, just like we are seeing in the other states, those mail-in ballots are likely not enough to overcome the drop-off in their in-person voting. On Saturday, the Washington Post reported that Pennsylvania Democrats are worried about "potential trouble with mail-in ballots during a pandemic" and "signs of lower-than-anticipated turnout among the Democratic base."
In past years, Democrats would carefully monitor those who failed show up in early voting or declined to mail in a ballot and offered to take them to the polls on Election Day. Well, good luck doing that this year with all their voters who were convinced that stepping out in public is a death sentence.
Obviously, we will all find out Tuesday night whether these numbers really portend a Trump victory. But if he winds up winning, it will likely be because the very people who locked down our lives and liberty successfully locked down their own vote.
Did Democrats suppress their own voters with COVID fearmongering?
The left has remade our society, economy, and interpersonal relationships through irrational fear of a virus and illogical worship of social isolation as a panacea. Well, what if they did such a good job convincing people that they will die if they go out and stand on line to vote that they have suppressed their own voters? Remember, it's mainly liberals who believe in the cult of COVID lockdowns. Well, evidence from early voting data throughout the country hints at such a remarkable electoral phenomenon unfolding.
The story is the same in many critical areas. While we don't know the ballot choices of those who voted early, we do know the party registration breakdown in most states. And in nearly every critical state, Republicans are doing much better than they did in 2016 in terms of in-person early voting. Given that Trump won in 2016 and the electorate will only get more favorable for Republicans on Election Day itself (because the majority of Democrats vote early), this portends an outcome way out of sync with the majority of polls.
Nowhere is this more evident than in Florida. Republicans are downright winning in-person early voting in terms of turnout by voter registration in Miami-Dade County, one of the state's most liberal jurisdictions. Yes, Democrats did bank a lot of mail-in votes, but because Republicans are doing so well with in-person early voting, they are ahead of their 2016 benchmarks in nearly every critical county — and remember, Trump carried Florida in 2016. Democrats are now faced with the prospect of trying to make a last-minute effort for people to vote in person in south Florida because the mail-in ballots came up short.
But it turns out that the mail-in campaign is the problem for Democrats. The large number of mail-in votes is unlikely bringing in new voters. Democrats are cannibalizing their in-person vote through record numbers of mail-ins. Sure, many of them answered the call to fill out their ballots through the mail, but they are clearly not enjoying a 1-1 ratio with their typical in-person voting. One would expect — with record mail-in ballots from Democrats — they'd be crushing Republicans, at least in terms of turnout by voter registration, headed into Election Day voting. However, despite all that cannibalization of their base in-person voting, they are actually behind their 2016 numbers! They fired all the bullets in their gun and are poised to lose.
The Democratic governor in Wisconsin sounded the alarm about the failure of mail-in ballots to turn out all their voters they need just to stay on par with 2016. At a press conference on Friday, Gov. Tony Evers warned Democrats to vote in person, not by mail. They are discovering the obvious fact that if even 10%-20% of their traditional base throw out their paper mail, which is very common in this day and age, they will lose their baseline votes unless they turn them out on Election Day.
There's just one problem: It's too late. By definition, most of the people in this country who have refused to leave their homes for seven months are Democrat voters. Democrats have done such a good job at convincing people they will die from the virus that they have fearmongered themselves into electoral oblivion.
As of Sunday, the composition of the ballots cast so far in the Badger State was 43% Republican and 35% Democrat. An R+8 advantage in early voting is simply astounding, given that, according to exit polls, Democrats had a +1 advantage overall in 2016. It's possible that Republicans are also cannibalizing more of their Election Day vote than usual as early voting becomes more universal, but it's very unlikely that the electorate would suddenly become more Democratic on Election Day itself. No wonder the Wisconsin governor is sounding the alarm.
In North Carolina, Democrats are going into Election Day with a 17% smaller registration edge among votes already cast than they did in 2016, despite the massive mail-in ballot campaign. And remember, Trump still carried the state in 2016 by nearly four points.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Democrats had 310k advantage in NC early voting 4 years ago and still lost. Now it’s 256,784. <a href="https://t.co/4QpXxTdDPR">https://t.co/4QpXxTdDPR</a></p>— Steve Deace (@SteveDeaceShow) <a href="https://twitter.com/SteveDeaceShow/status/1323057485700308994?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 2, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
A similar dynamic is playing out in Michigan, where Republicans lead Democrats 41%-39% in early voting turnout. Overall, Democrats enjoyed a nine-point edge in turnout in 2016, when Trump carried the state by the slimmest of margins. What's more, Republican turnout is nearly tied with Democrats in the critical Detroit suburb of Oakland County, a county Trump lost last time by eight points.
The problem with so many of the polls is that they were predicated on Democrats doing much better in early voting. Take the most recent Fox News Wisconsin poll, for example, which had Biden up by five points. The poll showed a massive edge for Democrats when mail-in and early voting is combined.
However, we know that is this already not true because Republicans have an eight-point edge in combined early voting turnout. It's true that not all mail-in ballots have been returned as of Sunday, but Fox's turnout projection model is nowhere near the reality of the current early voting/mail-in ballot count.
In Pennsylvania, there is no in-person early voting — only mail-in voting — so naturally, Democrats have a strong edge in turnout of returned ballots so far. But again, just like we are seeing in the other states, those mail-in ballots are likely not enough to overcome the drop-off in their in-person voting. On Saturday, the Washington Post reported that Pennsylvania Democrats are worried about "potential trouble with mail-in ballots during a pandemic" and "signs of lower-than-anticipated turnout among the Democratic base."
In past years, Democrats would carefully monitor those who failed show up in early voting or declined to mail in a ballot and offered to take them to the polls on Election Day. Well, good luck doing that this year with all their voters who were convinced that stepping out in public is a death sentence.
Obviously, we will all find out Tuesday night whether these numbers really portend a Trump victory. But if he winds up winning, it will likely be because the very people who locked down our lives and liberty successfully locked down their own vote.
That wasn't an assessment. That was the truth. Lefties aren't comfortable with the truth.
This couldn't have anything to do with it, could it?
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">SUPERCUT!<br><br>The media's coverage of the Trump Admin, boiled down to 3 mins <a href="https://t.co/oMNHZ56ipu">pic.twitter.com/oMNHZ56ipu</a></p>— Tom Elliott (@tomselliott) <a href="https://twitter.com/tomselliott/status/1323409962274557955?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 2, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Notice how the slime just parrot the same marching orders over and over?
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Because he's painting the election in terms of Biden and the Ds wanting further lockdowns and a "Dark Winter." He's tapping into disgruntled, freedom-loving citizens in places like Michigan, PA, and WI who have watched Democrat overreach and obsession with locking down and keeping us smothered.
Normal people want to breathe. Covid1984 has taken the oxygen from the public consciousness.
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He's still responsible for emergency declarations etc. He shut down incoming travel from China and was called a xenophobe. He was asked to provide PPE, ventilators etc. for certain states who asked for them, and he did. When they (every last one of them, including the experts) weren't sure about the severity of this virus, he went along with essentially shutting down the country.
In the meantime, they've been working on a vaccine, therapeutics/treatments and figuring out how to help fight this virus (that they now know has essentially a 99% survival rate) using historically practical methods, not this cloth mask over your face and hiding in your basement ****. For an invisible and contagious virus! There are some retired medical professionals on this board who say this exact thing.
But people, go ahead and believe the media & TDS infected with their 24/7 Covid fear porn.
Tucker Carlson killed it tonight:
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">It’s the revolution of the elites against the masses. I’ll be concerned about how horrible and unjust America is when I see plumbers, small business owners, mechanics, non-college educated immigrants, etc., protesting in the streets.</p>— Ligia Hougland (@LigiaHougland) <a href="https://twitter.com/LigiaHougland/status/1323434400814665728?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 3, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Wanted to emphasize that second Tweet, but if anyone's confused by the first, here it is (who's donating to who):
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The more likely you are to listen to NPR, the more you’re liable to vote Democrat. <a href="https://t.co/tpNRCxgcwe">pic.twitter.com/tpNRCxgcwe</a></p>— David Reaboi (@davereaboi) <a href="https://twitter.com/davereaboi/status/1323431481067343875?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 3, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Yeah, Joe Biden is a real man of the common people.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The more likely you are to listen to NPR, the more you’re liable to vote Democrat. <a href="https://t.co/tpNRCxgcwe">pic.twitter.com/tpNRCxgcwe</a></p>— David Reaboi (@davereaboi) <a href="https://twitter.com/davereaboi/status/1323431481067343875?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 3, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Yeah, Joe Biden is a real man of the common people.
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Civics class, my friend.
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My 15+ years working in public health may “Trump” whatever I learned in civics class. In my opinion it would be ridiculous to blame everything on Trump, but I doubt history will be kind in its assessment of how we’ve handled COVID-19. There will likely be plenty of blame to go around, and I’m sure some of that will be placed squarely upon the shoulders of the federal government and its leadership.
COVID has surged throughout the world. Were the leaders of these other nations incompetent fools too?
Per capita the US is not the worst to be hit with infections and deaths.
There were too many unknowns about this virus in the beginning to blame anyone. Opinions and contradictions were flying in from everywhere. Trump merely parroted was he was told by the "experts" and advisors.
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I got to the poll at 5:25 this morning and was 20th in line. By 6am the line was probably 150+.
One thing I enjoy is trying to fire judges. "Shall Judge Soandfuckingso remain in office?" I always vote No.
One thing I enjoy is trying to fire judges. "Shall Judge Soandfuckingso remain in office?" I always vote No.
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I always vote no on bonds. What a lousy way to jack up the tax needs.
Same here. And then there are these "Prop 16 helps expand the local government..." No ✓
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