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Why Trump will win

No, the Hag who gave Hillary the debate questions, I have blocked her name from my consciousness.

Donna Brazile

iu

I'm not saying she's ugly, I'm just saying even Ogre wouldn't marry her.

And I'm not saying she's a corrupt liar, but even my profession looks at her record and says, "Daaaaamn."
 
Donna Brazile

iu

I'm not saying she's ugly, I'm just saying even Ogre wouldn't marry her.

And I'm not saying she's a corrupt liar, but even my profession looks at her record and says, "Daaaaamn."

That fug ***** gave Hildatwat the debate questions in advance and Trump still beat its ***.
 
Wonderful news. Read the whole thing

Add Florida to list of swing states where early voting data favors a Trump victory

Republicans have closed Democrats' early voting lead in Florida by about 300,000 votes since early, in-person voting began and only trail in the state by 3 points five days before Election Day.

“Anyone Democrat feeling really confident right now should look at Florida’s early voting numbers. Republicans are having another huge day across the state,” NBC’s Joe Scarborough noted Tuesday.

Anyone Democrat feeling really confident right now should look at Florida’s early voting numbers. Republicans are having another huge day across the state.

— Joe Scarborough (@JoeNBC) October 27, 2020

Democrats carried an early voting lead in Florida into Election Day in 2016 as well only to have that margin erased by the GOP, resulting in Trump winning the state.

This year, the Democratic lead going into Election Day might have to be larger than usual. An overwhelming majority of Democrats have indicated they plan to or already have voted by mail or done early voting, while those voting for Trump have indicated they plan to vote on Election Day. As the Democrats lead continues to narrow ahead of Nov. 3, a wave of Republican voters could help push Trump over the top in the state.

“Democrats' early voting across the state is actually falling well short of what they would need to win if they lose Election Day, observed the Hill’s John Pudner. “Again, the advantage goes to Republicans in Florida.”

“Forbes polling indicates that roughly half of all voters plan to vote early, with 62 percent of Democrats planning to vote early while 72 percent of Republicans plan to wait and vote on Election Day,” Pudner wrote. “If that happened and independents split evenly (last time Trump won them), then Democrats would need to win early voting at least 70 percent to 30 percent to be on pace to barely overcome a 31 percent to 69 percent disadvantage in partisan Election Day votes.”

Democrats only have a slim 41%-38% early and mail-in voting lead in Florida as of Thursday.

The early voting results in the battleground state of Florida look similar to the numbers out of Michigan and Wisconsin, which both show Republicans leading the early vote in the states despite polls showing Trump lagging. Republicans have an even larger lead in Ohio, a swing state Trump leads in most polls. Florida’s numbers could be more accurate, as the state makes voter registration data publicly available, unlike Michigan, Wisconsin, and Ohio.

Trump won all four states in 2016.

One state where Democrats are hitting their expected target is Pennsylvania, which shows Democrats leading 68%-22%. Trump narrowly won Pennsylvania in 2016, and the state is currently rated as the most likely to decide the election.

Polls currently show Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden with a narrow lead in Florida, while FiveThirtyEight only gives Trump a 35% chance of winning the state as of Thursday.
 
MORE WONDERFUL NEWS!

Cleveland radio host broadcasts voting data he received from black Cleveland Civil Attorney Peter Kirsinow.

A must listen!
Scroll down towards the bottom of the page. This segment also includes an interview with Jack Windsor, an investigative reporter.

https://whkradio.com/radioshow/469

But if you don't have time to listen, I jotted down what I could.

Are you better of than 4 yrs ago?

Obama received 44% yes.
Reagan had the record with 47% responding with a yes.
Trump had a whopping 56% of the respondents say they are better off then they were 4 yrs ago. A new record..

Primary vote
An incumbent with more than 75% of the primary vote never lost.
Trump received 94%
It was higher than Obamas, Reagans, and Clintons .

Party affiliation
The Dems for the last 20yrs had to beat the Republicans in party affiliation by more than 5 points or they lose. (not sure what this means}
Trump is 7 points better.

The shy voter
68% of Republicans polled do not respond to polling or lie.
34% of Dems do not respond.
In 2016 77% of Republicans voted
In 2020 94% are projected to vote.

The Evangelical vote
In 2016 Trump received 81% of the Evangelical vote.
In 2020 90% will vote for Trump

The Jewish vote
In 2016 Trump got 24% of the Jewish vote
In 2020 that will go up to 28%

The Hispanic vote
Trump received 20% of the Hispanic vote.
He will receive 36% this time

The Black vote
Trump received 8% of the Black vote in 2016
He is projected to receive 15% this time.

PLEASE LET IT Be TRUE!
 
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I don't think it's realistic to think 94% of Republicans will vote. something in the 80-85% range seems more plausible. I'm also surprised at the low Jewish numbers. I would have thought Trump would have been much higher there. Any idea of the rationale there?
 
I don't think it's realistic to think 94% of Republicans will vote. something in the 80-85% range seems more plausible. I'm also surprised at the low Jewish numbers. I would have thought Trump would have been much higher there. Any idea of the rationale there?

Jews work, so they can make money. They'll vote at 5:20pm Tuesday.
 
I don't think it's realistic to think 94% of Republicans will vote. something in the 80-85% range seems more plausible. I'm also surprised at the low Jewish numbers. I would have thought Trump would have been much higher there. Any idea of the rationale there?

For whatever reason, many American jewish people vote against the Israeli Interests... I certainly cannot explain it... if its good for Israel, its bad in their eyes...
 
For whatever reason, many American jewish people vote against the Israeli Interests... I certainly cannot explain it... if its good for Israel, its bad in their eyes...

There are more Jews in the USA than in Israel. Many Jews live here because of their religious views. These Jews think that the current state of Israel is an abomination, because it doesn't conform to thier flavor of Judaism. You might be surprised to find out how many of the non-Israeli Jews are opposed to that nation.
 
Here's my take on this, which is worth nothing, but I'll share it anyway.

Polls from all the early voting show the race tightening, even with that segment of the population pushing for early voting, mail in voting.

I think supporters of Trump show up on election day and vote in person.
 
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Who will win on Nov. 3? After 24 years and 1,283 political campaign victories, including 3 winning U.S. POTUS races, I break down the race and it’s not what you think: <a href="https://t.co/onAg8DUS9F">https://t.co/onAg8DUS9F</a><a href="https://twitter.com/ScottAdamsSays?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@ScottAdamsSays</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/RobertCahaly?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@RobertCahaly</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/2000F?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@2000F</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@realDonaldTrump</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/JoeBiden?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@JoeBiden</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/ggreenwald?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@ggreenwald</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/jaltucher?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@jaltucher</a> <a href="https://t.co/xatT7uyCBM">pic.twitter.com/xatT7uyCBM</a></p>— Phillip Stutts (@phillipstutts) <a href="https://twitter.com/phillipstutts/status/1322177543672418310?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 30, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

For some in-depth analysis on predicting the election, read this article. Sometimes we get impatient and just want to know a prediction, but this article is worth reading in it's entirety IMO.
 
We'll see soon enough.
 
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Who will win on Nov. 3? After 24 years and 1,283 political campaign victories, including 3 winning U.S. POTUS races, I break down the race and it’s not what you think: <a href="https://t.co/onAg8DUS9F">https://t.co/onAg8DUS9F</a><a href="https://twitter.com/ScottAdamsSays?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@ScottAdamsSays</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/RobertCahaly?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@RobertCahaly</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/2000F?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@2000F</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@realDonaldTrump</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/JoeBiden?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@JoeBiden</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/ggreenwald?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@ggreenwald</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/jaltucher?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@jaltucher</a> <a href="https://t.co/xatT7uyCBM">pic.twitter.com/xatT7uyCBM</a></p>— Phillip Stutts (@phillipstutts) <a href="https://twitter.com/phillipstutts/status/1322177543672418310?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 30, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

For some in-depth analysis on predicting the election, read this article. Sometimes we get impatient and just want to know a prediction, but this article is worth reading in it's entirety IMO.

Good read thanks for sharing.
 
Who's the guy that's accurately predicted like 11 of the last 12 elections? He ought to have his markers worked out by now so he can make a prediction.

Oh, looked it up. Professor Lichtman. He claims this year that Trump will lose.
 
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Who's the guy that's accurately predicted like 11 of the last 12 elections? He ought to have his markers worked out by now so he can make a prediction.

Oh, looked it up. Professor Lichtman. He claims this year that Trump will lose.

He's become a grifter (in every interview "if you buy my book") and he also says the only way Trump wins is voter suppression or Russian interference, so there's that as well.
 
Who's the guy that's accurately predicted like 11 of the last 12 elections? He ought to have his markers worked out by now so he can make a prediction.

Oh, looked it up. Professor Lichtman. He claims this year that Trump will lose.

There's a bakery somewhere in bumfuck Ohio that tracks sales of Trump cookies vs. Biden cookies and Trump won. So that's all I need to know. It's a lock.
 
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