Two weeks left playoff scenarios

[madinsomniac]

So we currently sit in 9th place, but our 8-7 record is tied for the 7th and final wildcard spot, its just tiebreakers that doom us.

Buffalo sits one game ahead of us at 9-6.

Jacksonville, Indy, Houston and Cinci all sit at 8-7 with us

Jacksonville, Indy and Houston beat us h2h and cinci got swept by us.

Barring cinci finishing with more wins than us, there is no scenario where they can tie us and leapfrog us. In the extremely unlikely scenario where we win out, the Bungles win out, and the Browns lose out, we would win the tiebreaker against both the Browns and Bengals and neither would be eligible for the playoffs before us.

So lets start with if we lose a game, and that game is the Ravens game, we are pretty much DOA barring some weird stuff, like a tie in the Houston Indy game.

However if we lose vs Seattle there are possibly still some options to get in, depending on how other games turn out

Mostly we want to win out and are rooting against indy, Jacksonville, and Houston. As much as possible…

Indy and Houston play week 18 so if one wins this week, we want the other to win next week.
We also should want the Browns to lose out, the Bills to lose,

and if the Chiefs lose out, the Raiders to win out so the chiefs are out because they kill us lol

The real question is whether we want Miami to beat the Rats this week… if the purple pigeons win, they have the Bye and really nothing to play for, but if they lose they might be locked into the 2 seed or playing for something week 18

Im honestly not sure that it benefits us if they rest players… we will probably take them lightly and tgeir starters aren’t great vs us right now

 

[Booted]

 

[Troglodyte]

So we currently sit in 9th place, but our 8-7 record is tied for the 7th and final wildcard spot, its just tiebreakers that doom us.

Buffalo sits one game ahead of us at 9-6.

Jacksonville, Indy, Houston and Cinci all sit at 8-7 with us

Jacksonville, Indy and Houston beat us h2h and cinci got swept by us.

Barring cinci finishing with more wins than us, there is no scenario where they can tie us and leapfrog us. In the extremely unlikely scenario where we win out, the Bungles win out, and the Browns lose out, we would win the tiebreaker against both the Browns and Bengals and neither would be eligible for the playoffs before us.

So lets start with if we lose a game, and that game is the Ravens game, we are pretty much DOA barring some weird stuff, like a tie in the Houston Indy game.

However if we lose vs Seattle there are possibly still some options to get in, depending on how other games turn out

Mostly we want to win out and are rooting against indy, Jacksonville, and Houston. As much as possible…

Indy and Houston play week 18 so if one wins this week, we want the other to win next week.
We also should want the Browns to lose out, the Bills to lose,

and if the Chiefs lose out, the Raiders to win out so the chiefs are out because they kill us lol

The real question is whether we want Miami to beat the Rats this week… if the purple pigeons win, they have the Bye and really nothing to play for, but if they lose they might be locked into the 2 seed or playing for something week 18

Im honestly not sure that it benefits us if they rest players… we will probably take them lightly and tgeir starters aren’t great vs us right now

I think the NFL will try to schedule week 18 games that impact each other for the same time so teams don’t benefit from knowing the outcomes of those games. So if the Ravens lose to the Dolphins and they’re both 12-4, I think they’ll likely play at the same time in week 18.

 

[steelhurt]

Same **** new year. Same crap with shades every year,
Always on the outside looking in needing this to happen and that to happen.
Wake up Art II and move on from this guy. It’s time!
We were sitting at 7-4 and lost to two horrible teams and one very mediocre team.
Let’s stop this nightmare this offseason!

 

[jitter77]

So we currently sit in 9th place, but our 8-7 record is tied for the 7th and final wildcard spot, its just tiebreakers that doom us.

Buffalo sits one game ahead of us at 9-6.

Jacksonville, Indy, Houston and Cinci all sit at 8-7 with us

Jacksonville, Indy and Houston beat us h2h and cinci got swept by us.

Barring cinci finishing with more wins than us, there is no scenario where they can tie us and leapfrog us. In the extremely unlikely scenario where we win out, the Bungles win out, and the Browns lose out, we would win the tiebreaker against both the Browns and Bengals and neither would be eligible for the playoffs before us.

So lets start with if we lose a game, and that game is the Ravens game, we are pretty much DOA barring some weird stuff, like a tie in the Houston Indy game.

However if we lose vs Seattle there are possibly still some options to get in, depending on how other games turn out

Mostly we want to win out and are rooting against indy, Jacksonville, and Houston. As much as possible…

Indy and Houston play week 18 so if one wins this week, we want the other to win next week.
We also should want the Browns to lose out, the Bills to lose,

and if the Chiefs lose out, the Raiders to win out so the chiefs are out because they kill us lol

The real question is whether we want Miami to beat the Rats this week… if the purple pigeons win, they have the Bye and really nothing to play for, but if they lose they might be locked into the 2 seed or playing for something week 18

Im honestly not sure that it benefits us if they rest players… we will probably take them lightly and tgeir starters aren’t great vs us right now

The buffalo / miami game is also key for us. If Buffalo loses we have a much easier chance. Indy / Hou play each other so one is guaranteed a loss. If we win out and Buffalo loses i think it comes out to a 99% chance we make it

 

[Fiji Mariner]

It’s the classic Tomlin scenario

Drop games in consecutive weeks to two of the worst teams in football and then try to win out and pray for help

Another year “praying for help” where all they had to do was beat 1 out of the 2 tomato cans to control their own destiny

Best case scenario…scrap that…cue Tomlin extension in 3,2,1

 

[Aussie_Steeler]

The buffalo / miami game is also key for us. If Buffalo loses we have a much easier chance. Indy / Hou play each other so one is guaranteed a loss. If we win out and Buffalo loses i think it comes out to a 99% chance we make it

If Steelers win out and Buffalo loses one game it's 100% chance Steelers make it as in that scenario Steelers will have the tie breaker over Buffalo (better conference record), and Steelers will finish ahead of the loser of Houston v Indy on win-loss record (or ahead of both Houston and Indy if they tie).

 

[Aussie_Steeler]

So we currently sit in 9th place, but our 8-7 record is tied for the 7th and final wildcard spot, its just tiebreakers that doom us.

Buffalo sits one game ahead of us at 9-6.

If Steelers win one more game than Buffalo, I believe conference record will be the tiebreaker which will go the Steelers way, as both currently have same number of conference losses. Buffalo's remaining games are both AFC, therefore if they have the same win/loss record they will have a worse conference record.

Jacksonville, Indy, Houston and Cinci all sit at 8-7 with us

Jacksonville, Indy and Houston beat us h2h and cinci got swept by us.

Barring cinci finishing with more wins than us, there is no scenario where they can tie us and leapfrog us. In the extremely unlikely scenario where we win out, the Bungles win out, and the Browns lose out, we would win the tiebreaker against both the Browns and Bengals and neither would be eligible for the playoffs before us.

So lets start with if we lose a game, and that game is the Ravens game, we are pretty much DOA barring some weird stuff, like a tie in the Houston Indy game.
However if we lose vs Seattle there are possibly still some options to get in, depending on how other games turn out

It doesn't really matter if the Steelers lose to Seattle or Baltimore. A loss to Baltimore isn't going to affect any tiebreakers, given Steelers lose on head to head against Houston, Indy and Jacksonville, and both Buffalo games are against AFC opponents meaning any scenario where Buffalo and Steelers finish level on win-loss Steelers will have the better conferecne record.

Mostly we want to win out and are rooting against indy, Jacksonville, and Houston. As much as possible…

Also rooting against Buffalo, as their last game is against Miami which on paper looks the most likely loss apart from the Houston Indy game.

Indy and Houston play week 18 so if one wins this week, we want the other to win next week.
We also should want the Browns to lose out, the Bills to lose,

and if the Chiefs lose out, the Raiders to win out so the chiefs are out because they kill us lol

The real question is whether we want Miami to beat the Rats this week… if the purple pigeons win, they have the Bye and really nothing to play for, but if they lose they might be locked into the 2 seed or playing for something week 18

If Ravens lose to Miami, Ravens are not locked into the number two seed. They will still be playing for the number one seed in the game against the Steelers.
We also want Kansas to win next week, so if Miami lose to the Ravens, Miami are still playing for the number two seed against Buffalo.

Im honestly not sure that it benefits us if they rest players… we will probably take them lightly and tgeir starters aren’t great vs us right now

 

[madinsomniac]

If Steelers win one more game than Buffalo, I believe conference record will be the tiebreaker which will go the Steelers way, as both currently have same number of conference losses. Buffalo's remaining games are both AFC, therefore if they have the same win/loss record they will have a worse conference record.

This is true. Assuming that its head to head..

It doesn't really matter if the Steelers lose to Seattle or Baltimore. A loss to Baltimore isn't going to affect any tiebreakers, given Steelers lose on head to head against Houston, Indy and Jacksonville, and both Buffalo games are against AFC opponents meaning any scenario where Buffalo and Steelers finish level on win-loss Steelers will have the better conferecne record.

No it ABSOLUTELY matters if the steelers lose to Seattle or tge Ravens.. because it’s likely not going to be a two team tie.. it will be a three way or four way tie between the Steelers, Buffalo, and probably a AFC south team…. Maybe even KC or vegas too… so finishing 6-6 in the conference mostly eliminates us from the playoffs barring something dramatic… losing to Seattle still leaves a lot of scenarios on the board.. you can’t just assume that it will come down to head to head results..
so for instance…lets say that after the division winners get there spots and Cleveland and Indy get theirs, there is one spot open …

if Houston splits its games, they finish 9-8 but 6-6 in the afc.. if Buffalo loses out, they finish 9-8 but 5-7 in the AFC.. but lets also say Vegas wins out and finishes 9-8, but 7-5 in the afc… and we lose to Seattle but beat The Ravens … we also finish 9-8… but are 7-5 in the afc.

Houston and Buffalo are eliminated in step 3 of the procedures. We eliminate the Raiders in H2H

If we lose to Seattle, we are 6-6 in the afc and Vegas gets in… if vegas doesn’t win out, then Houston gets in because Buffalo would be eliminated in step 3 and Houston beat us in h2h…

Also rooting against Buffalo, as their last game is against Miami which on paper looks the most likely loss apart from the Houston Indy game.

Yes Buffalo losing a lot is preferable lol

If Ravens lose to Miami, Ravens are not locked into the number two seed. They will still be playing for the number one seed in the game against the Steelers.
We also want Kansas to win next week, so if Miami lose to the Ravens, Miami are still playing for the number two seed against Buffalo.

It just depends on the final week schedule… some years they’ll nfl plays all the playoff implication teams at the same time and in others its split up.. if we play the Rats at 4:00 and both Miami and Cleveland play their games at 1:00, the Ravens will know whether there is anything to play for or not. If the Ravens lose this week and Cleveland wins, the division is still up for grabs in week 18..

As for KC, if they lost out and Vegas won out, they lose tge division and most tiebreaker scenarios favor us if we tied them…

 

[madinsomniac]

Same **** new year. Same crap with shades every year,
Always on the outside looking in needing this to happen and that to happen.
Wake up Art II and move on from this guy. It’s time!
We were sitting at 7-4 and lost to two horrible teams and one very mediocre team.
Let’s stop this nightmare this offseason!

Tomlin teams that miss the playoffs are almost always finish one spot out of the playoffs… it’s uncanny how much he plays on the edge of tge playoffs…

 

[xjx]

You're either in or You're out. Ask any sailor!

 

[Misstha70’s]

Screw the playoffs as it only continues the dire .500 coaching tradition.......can Tomlin's *** and move on...it is well past time

 

[Steelr4evr]

Same **** new year. Same crap with shades every year,
Always on the outside looking in needing this to happen and that to happen.
Wake up Art II and move on from this guy. It’s time!
We were sitting at 7-4 and lost to two horrible teams and one very mediocre team.
Let’s stop this nightmare this offseason!

That's the NEW standard baby!

 

[speedicut]

Nothing like praying other teams lose so we can lose another playoff game.

 

[Steelmann]

https://I www.reddit.com/r/steelers/comments/18tcd8f/saw_this_on_instagram_and_thought_id_share_it/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf&utm_term=link

 

[madinsomniac]

The Browns won, which is kind of bad because them losing out was a path in for us… but also the Rats losing this week would mean they are potentially playing for the division next week ….

 

[Troglodyte]

It just depends on the final week schedule… some years they’ll nfl plays all the playoff implication teams at the same time and in others its split up.. if we play the Rats at 4:00 and both Miami and Cleveland play their games at 1:00, the Ravens will know whether there is anything to play for or not. If the Ravens lose this week and Cleveland wins, the division is still up for grabs in week 18..

Games that are meaningless to one or both teams with star players sitting out are bad for TV ratings. I would think the NFL would make every effort to have games that impact other teams playoff implications played at the same time as those other teams.

 

[madinsomniac]

Games that are meaningless to one or both teams with star players sitting out are bad for TV ratings. I would think the NFL would make every effort to have games that impact other teams playoff implications played at the same time as those other teams.

One would think that… but it hasn’t always been past practice… and i have never understood why

 

[Troglodyte]

One would think that… but it hasn’t always been past practice… and i have never understood why

Did prior seasons have a TBD final week? I thought this was the first.

 

[stillerfaninfl]

Sorry....Stillers aren't getting in and it's their own damn fault. Losing to pats and cards......

 

[slashsteel]

Sorry....Stillers aren't getting in and it's their own damn fault. Losing to pats and cards......

And Colts. Three losses in a row. Just not good enough.

 

[xjx]

Can't lose in December. Otherwise it's over, as we are seeing.

Extend that contract!

 

[Gildong Sack]

LOL.... literally. I spit out my drink when I saw this. This has to be in the top 10 uses of Photoshop ever

 

[ZonaBurgh]

This is a conundrum for me, while I never wish for a loss, I know winning the last 2 games won't result in a thing.

One and done in the playoff game and likely in an embarrassing fashion.

And the never a losing season head coach gets extended.

Cue Bill Murray in Groundhog Day.

 

[madinsomniac]

I wouldn’t care so much if it wasn’t a pattern… During the original “ unleash hell” season of 2009, we lost three in a row after a 6-2 start… including a loss to a KC team that would finish 4-12… Tomlin announces that we will unleash hell, and we promptly lose two more to teams that both finish 5-11….

Then win 3 straight to close the season at 9-7… the final two wild card teams finished 9-7… we win just one of those games during that 5 game stretch and we make the playoffs, two and we win the division…
Tomlin is tge king of barely missing or making the playoffs