Why Trump will win

[IndySteel]

 

[Vader]

The polls are shifting Trump's way. Does he have enough time? If Trump does in fact win F the media, and it's likely because he did far better with Latinos and African Americans than people thought he would.

The polls are shifting because they don't want to look as bad as they did in 16'. Biden has never been ahead by double digits... never. They were trying to drive the true numbers down by deflating Trumps base and sway those that are independent from voting for a guy that was losing so badly. None of it worked. By next week almost every poll will be in the margin of error so they can say they called it regardless of who wins.

 

[Steelworth]

The polls are shifting because they don't want to look as bad as they did in 16'. Biden has never been ahead by double digits... never. They were trying to drive the true numbers down by deflating Trumps base and sway those that are independent from voting for a guy that was losing so badly. None of it worked. By next week almost every poll will be in the margin of error so they can say they called it regardless of who wins.

 

[SojournerSteel]

The polls are shifting Trump's way. Does he have enough time? If Trump does in fact win F the media, and it's likely because he did far better with Latinos and African Americans than people thought he would.

Trump locked down the white working class vote in 2016. In the 4 years since, his efforts have been toward outreach to blacks and hispanics also left behind.

Saw this today. Some clue into how Trump is expanding the tent at these rallies. His ground game by all rights should defeat the hollow Biden at the ballot box. D's can only win through malfeasance and cheating.

https://www.americanthinker.com/blo...eed_tells_you_what_the_polls_are_missing.html

 

[Djfan]

Trump locked down the white working class vote in 2016. In the 4 years since, his efforts have been toward outreach to blacks and hispanics also left behind.

Saw this today. Some clue into how Trump is expanding the tent at these rallies. His ground game by all rights should defeat the hollow Biden at the ballot box. D's can only win through malfeasance and cheating.

https://www.americanthinker.com/blo...eed_tells_you_what_the_polls_are_missing.html

I hope that when Trumps stomps Biden in the election, that the media backlash is outrageous, to the point that media heads roll. Fix that cespool and many things get fixed de facto.

 

[deljzc]

I honestly don't understand why Trump doesn't just ask/demand all his supporters refuse to do any polls.

That would **** with the media to no end.

I watched the news for about 5 minutes last night and everything was so biased toward Biden, I thought I was watching their political strategy reported "as news". Every so-called "news story" was just bullshit about how Biden was reaching out to such-and-such group and Trump's poll numbers were horrible in such-and-such a group. And then of course they interview a such-and-such group person that supports Biden as evidence their reporting is true.

I don't even understand how this is "news" at all.

 

[Djfan]

I honestly don't understand why Trump doesn't just ask/demand all his supporters refuse to do any polls.

That would **** with the media to no end.

I watched the news for about 5 minutes last night and everything was so biased toward Biden, I thought I was watching their political strategy reported "as news". Every so-called "news story" was just bullshit about how Biden was reaching out to such-and-such group and Trump's poll numbers were horrible in such-and-such a group. And then of course they interview a such-and-such group person that supports Biden as evidence their reporting is true.

I don't even understand how this is "news" at all.

It's not. It's trash that makes the National Inquirer look fair and balanced.

I don't understand why rich conservatives don't band together and create more and legit news sources, and just bury these lefites in the media. It could happen in social media and hollywood, too. I don't get it. The marketplace would eat that up.

 

[wig]

Conspiracy Wig's concern is that the general core preference of republicans to vote on election day is going to cause issues.

Say, a widespread covid situation that causes the polls to be shut down. Or perhaps, there are just so darn many people coming in that they aren't prepared to deal with that they simply can't get all those people to vote.

In this case, republicans should bite the bullet whenever and wherever possible and vote a couple days early. I suspect shenanigans.

 

[Vader]

Conspiracy Wig's concern is that the general core preference of republicans to vote on election day is going to cause issues.

Say, a widespread covid situation that causes the polls to be shut down. Or perhaps, there are just so darn many people coming in that they aren't prepared to deal with that they simply can't get all those people to vote.

In this case, republicans should bite the bullet whenever and wherever possible and vote a couple days early. I suspect shenanigans.

A lot of states have early in person voting. Many Republicans have already voted in person. I've already seen some of the county voting trends for Philadelphia proper. No wonder Biden has been living in PA for months now. Philly isn't anywhere near the correct vote totals for Biden to win PA. He isn't even going to match Hillary's totals from 16'. He's not doing well in Philly at all. If Trump's numbers in Philly hold he'll win PA by 2%.

 

[IndySteel]

 

[Steeltime]

Anecdotal evidence - very anecdotal, I acknowledge that - about early voting in Arizona:

HILLYARD: It is stunning and worth noting that the president going up to the rural part of the state where there’s a much larger population base — is worth noting. I stopped up there yesterday, into a couple towns — Lake Havasu, Kingman, Bullhead City. I went to one early voting location, and one, only one person out of 50 said they were voting for Joe Biden!

https://www.rushlimbaugh.com/daily/...y-finds-one-biden-voter-out-of-50-in-arizona/

 

[Steelin]

Anecdotal evidence - very anecdotal, I acknowledge that - about early voting in Arizona:



https://www.rushlimbaugh.com/daily/...y-finds-one-biden-voter-out-of-50-in-arizona/

Ah Havasu! Great memories.

 

[Tim Steelersfan]

Ah Havasu! Great memories.

This post is useless without topless....errrr....pictures.

 

[Stewey]

Holy ****.

In a shocking turnaround, 61.48% of the 109 Muslim leaders who “represent two million voters” plan to vote for Trump. That is a slight edge over their 2012 vote for Barack Obama.[/I][/B]

That's good...except I hope and pray they refrain from putting up their own yard signs... depicting one of their own holding a bloodied decapitated head of Joe Biden saying "Vote For Trump".

Although completely OK to do from their point of view, it would not go over too well.

 

[jitter77]

Where is the rest of the stuff Rudy was supposed to release at? Also what happened to Hillarys emails that Pompeo was supposed to release? Time is running out if they really have info

 

[IndySteel]

 

[IndySteel]

 

[Tim Steelersfan]

Are Democrats Heading for a 2020 Bloodbath?

As we’ve said before, we’re either going to be really right or really wrong come Election Day. Folks, you know where I stand; MAGA all the way. But poll after poll has been showing Biden with insane leads. Leads so insane that even the Biden camp is putting it out there that they’re not ahead of Donald Trump by double-digits. If so, Biden and Obama wouldn’t be flocking to Michigan on Saturday. Pennsylvania would also be locked up as well. It’s not. Yet, one state will determine a lot for Joe Biden, and that’s Florida. If Biden loses the state, his chances of winning the election sink below 50 percent. Right now, it looks like Democrats are heading for an Electoral College bloodbath viewing the early vote totals. Larry Schweikart has been tracking these numbers. Not only is he bullish on Trump winning Florida, but Arizona is starting to look excellent as well.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">FL In Person Early Vote<br>Rs +354,482<br><br>Ds went into election day 2016 with an 88,000 lead. Rs are 266,482 from going into election day even. <br><br>Trump won FL by 113,000<br><br>Rs now just 153,483 from covering Trump's margin.<br><br>This will be bloody. They don't even see it coming.</p>— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) <a href="https://twitter.com/LarrySchweikart/status/1321166861652783107?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 27, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Miami-Dade is now R +5,500.<br><br>Palm Beach is R+670<br><br>Rs outperforming in Sumter by 3%.</p>— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) <a href="https://twitter.com/LarrySchweikart/status/1321167965341904897?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 27, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">AZ Rs chewing away the lead. Watch out. Rs vote on election day in AZ.<br><br>Ds +75,000 vs. over 110,000 just three days ago.</p>— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) <a href="https://twitter.com/LarrySchweikart/status/1321492182486839296?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 28, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

And this comes after Trafalgar, the most accurate swing state pollster in 2016, released new surveys with Trump taking the lead in Pennsylvania, and Biden now only leads Trump by 0.4 percent in Wisconsin. Nationally, Rasmussen has Trump with a one-point lead, with his approval rating at 52 percent. For comparison, Obama’s was 47 percent six days from Election Day in 2012. PollWatch is another good follow to clear away the liberal noise regarding the polls.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Our new <a href="https://twitter.com/trafalgar_group?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@trafalgar_group</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/2020Election?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#2020Election</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/BattlegroundState?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#BattlegroundState</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/WIpoll?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#WIpoll</a> conducted Oct 24-25 shows undecided shrinking and a razor thin Biden lead: <br>47.5% <a href="https://twitter.com/JoeBiden?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@JoeBiden</a>,<br>47.1% <a href="https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@realDonaldTrump</a>,<br>3.1% <a href="https://twitter.com/Jorgensen4POTUS?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@Jorgensen4POTUS</a>,<br>1.2% Other,<br>1.1% Und. See Report: <a href="https://t.co/VAoU4iJFHb">https://t.co/VAoU4iJFHb</a> <a href="https://t.co/aNF2nvKmVZ">pic.twitter.com/aNF2nvKmVZ</a></p>— Robert C. Cahaly (@RobertCahaly) <a href="https://twitter.com/RobertCahaly/status/1321499914141052928?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 28, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">New Rasmussen Poll Shows Trump +1 Nationally:<br><br>Trump: 48<br>Biden: 47<br><br>"The latest national telephone and online survey finds Trump edging Biden 48% to 47% among Likely U.S. Voters."<a href="https://t.co/MKuABUhBG9">https://t.co/MKuABUhBG9</a></p>— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) <a href="https://twitter.com/PollWatch2020/status/1321458807013208070?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 28, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">6 Days Before Election TRUMP APPROVAL--52%<br><br>5 pts higher than Obama's approval on this day--Oct 28, 2012 (Obama's re-election year):<br><br>Trump (10/28/20): 52%<br>Obama (10/28/12): 47%<br><br>(per Rasmussen Reports, daily tracker of both presidencies)<a href="https://t.co/9nchoD7qKV">https://t.co/9nchoD7qKV</a></p>— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) <a href="https://twitter.com/PollWatch2020/status/1321447197657870337?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 28, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">BREAKING: Most Likely Voters say Joe Biden consulted about & perhaps profited from his son Hunter's overseas business deals including at least one involving a company in mainland China.<br><br>Majority of every demographic group - except one - agrees. <br><br>Marked crosstabs & story below <a href="https://t.co/RdHDe2AMKd">https://t.co/RdHDe2AMKd</a> <a href="https://t.co/fhIqilLKRs">pic.twitter.com/fhIqilLKRs</a></p>— Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) <a href="https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1320764579996160000?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 26, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Trump takes narrow lead in PENNSYLVANIA. <a href="https://t.co/hugAlj6vWy">https://t.co/hugAlj6vWy</a></p>— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) <a href="https://twitter.com/PollWatch2020/status/1321103577763344386?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 27, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Projecting Vote % Win--North Carolina<br><br>2008 Dem Voter edge over Rep: 864,253<br>Obama win: 0.32%<br><br>2012 D edge: 818,443<br>Romney win: 2.04% (+2.36% for Rep from 08)<br><br>2016 D edge: 646,246 <br>Trump win: 3.66% (+1.62% for R from 12)<br><br>2020 D edge: 398,953 (Rep close gap by 247,293 from 16)</p>— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) <a href="https://twitter.com/PollWatch2020/status/1320451264925233152?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 25, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Updated election map from StatesPoll. Trump lead increases. <a href="https://t.co/HzKCmjCt49">https://t.co/HzKCmjCt49</a></p>— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) <a href="https://twitter.com/PollWatch2020/status/1320222882199293953?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 25, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

And there's some good news coming from Colorado as well:

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">UPDATE: CO<br>Rs early vote now down by only 9%. Two weeks ago it was 30%, and just yesterday 10%.<br><br>This is astounding.</p>— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) <a href="https://twitter.com/LarrySchweikart/status/1321494746368413696?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 28, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

These are suppression polls. I can’t take anyone seriously who still uses registered voter samples because they don’t want to guess what the electorate might look like this cycle. We’re expecting to see one million fewer young people vote. Suburban GOP voters are oversampled due to their hostility towards Trump. Trump Democrat and rural GOP zip codes are bypassed, and about a quarter of all Trump rally attendees didn’t vote in 2016. To boot, some polls have college-educated voters representing over half of the respondents. That’s not an accurate gauge on anything within the sociopolitical realm.

 

[Ron Burgundy]

There's the one red & blue map making the rounds that shows Trump winning NY. I don't think that will happen but it would be hilarious if he does.

 

[wig]

This **** with Tucker losing the original documents on Biden is scary.

The deep state is ******* deeeeeep. If I were Tucker I'd be looking really really closely at the people working with him and around him. Some random ******* fed-ex guy didn't just happen to pick the right package to tear open and steal **** out of.

 

[tapeANaspirin2it]

Anecdotal evidence - very anecdotal, I acknowledge that - about early voting in Arizona:



https://www.rushlimbaugh.com/daily/...y-finds-one-biden-voter-out-of-50-in-arizona/

I was talking with a union guy. I countered every argument he had to vote Biden. Things like him saying Trump is for Wall Street and me pointing out that Wall St has donated far more to Biden because they don’t want Trump taking on China. He admitted Biden has dementia. It was frustrating that no facts could stop him from voting Dem. But then he told me don’t worry, about 70% of the union guys he works with are voting Trump. They love him.

 

[Steeltime]

I wish Flog and Tibs were here to tell us (1) the Biden e-mails and text messages are a Russian plot and disinformation, (2) okay, well they might be real but really don't show anything, (3) all right, maybe they show Hunter Biden getting paid millions of dollars by Communist China but that's not Joe, (4) well then, maybe Joe got a slice of the pie but not a very big one, (5) so Joe gets half of the Hunter Biden bribe, so what?

And then have Tibs explain how his entire 2016 catastrophe warning - Trump owes the Russians, the Russians have the goods on Trump, Trump will act as their tool because blackmail - was 100% false but applies 100% to Biden and China.

Just you wait, they'll be here. Just ... you ... wait.

 

[steel dino]

This **** with Tucker losing the original documents on Biden is scary.

The deep state is ******* deeeeeep. If I were Tucker I'd be looking really really closely at the people working with him and around him. Some random ******* fed-ex guy didn't just happen to pick the right package to tear open and steal **** out of.

Juan Williams maybe?
lol

 

[deljzc]

I wish Flog and Tibs were here to tell us (1) the Biden e-mails and text messages are a Russian plot and disinformation, (2) okay, well they might be real but really don't show anything, (3) all right, maybe they show Hunter Biden getting paid millions of dollars by Communist China but that's not Joe, (4) well then, maybe Joe got a slice of the pie but not a very big one, (5) so Joe gets half of the Hunter Biden bribe, so what?

And then have Tibs explain how his entire 2016 catastrophe warning - Trump owes the Russians, the Russians have the goods on Trump, Trump will act as their tool because blackmail - was 100% false but applies 100% to Biden and China.

Just you wait, they'll be here. Just ... you ... wait.

They will only show up if Biden wins to gloat.

 

[Booted]

I wish Flog and Tibs were here to tell us (1) the Biden e-mails and text messages are a Russian plot and disinformation, (2) okay, well they might be real but really don't show anything, (3) all right, maybe they show Hunter Biden getting paid millions of dollars by Communist China but that's not Joe, (4) well then, maybe Joe got a slice of the pie but not a very big one, (5) so Joe gets half of the Hunter Biden bribe, so what?

And then have Tibs explain how his entire 2016 catastrophe warning - Trump owes the Russians, the Russians have the goods on Trump, Trump will act as their tool because blackmail - was 100% false but applies 100% to Biden and China.

Just you wait, they'll be here. Just ... you ... wait.