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This is probably the least predictable draft for the Steelers in years. There is a new front office in place and so many different directions the team can go. There are a few prospects linked to the team, but we could also see the Steelers active on the trade market. Here are some of my final thoughts heading into the draft (sorry it's a bit long!):
Quarterback
I think a QB in round seven is a strong possibility. Dorian Thompson-Robinson, Stetson Bennett, Clayton Tune, or Jaren Hall are all guys I could see. I don't see him falling that far, but Jake Haener is my top choice for long-term developmental backup. The QB rankings are hard to read since there is a lot of variation depending on the analyst.
Running Back
With Harris and Warren, the Steelers shouldn't be in the running back market unless it is a clear best player available. This draft could have two first-round prospects with Robinson and Gibbs. It's too bad they don't need a RB because there's a lot of quality talent. Roschon Johnson could be a stud in the middle rounds and Israel Abanikanda has homerun hitting speed.
Wide Receiver
The acquisition of Allen Robinson eased the needs to draft a receiver. That wouldn't prevent me from drafting a receiver depending on the draft plays out.
1.17 - Jaxson Smith-Njigba
2.32 Jordan Addison, Zay Flowers
2.49 Josh Downs, Jonathan Mingo, Marvin Mims, Cedric Tillman
3.80 Jayden Reed
Tight End
It's a deep tight end class and while I understand the usefulness of a TE2, it's hard to prioritize the position too early. At the right spot, Darnell Washington, Sam LaPorta, Luke Schoonmaker, and Brenton Strange are all guys I'd be happy with.
Offensive Tackle
A top three need and a top three area of interest the Steelers had based on the predraft process. Paris Johnson is the most athletically gifted tackle, or the "lab built" tackle. There is talk of Skoronski to guard. I'm keep him at tackle and trusting him as a technician. Jones is going to be a work in progress and will struggle early, but has a huge upside. Darnell Wright is a ready-made starter, but likely at right tackle. Dawand Jones is another with a huge upside, but his size will be a concern in terms of staying in playing shape. Anton Harrison is the off-the-radar prospect, but should still be a good player. I'd be okay with any of these players at 17 or 32, definitely happier some with over others.
Interior Offensive Line
Despite acquiring Cole, Daniels, Seumalo, and Herbig, they still showed a lot of interest in IOL prospects in this year's draft. Torrence could be that massive road grader at guard. John Michael Schmitz is older, but just a solid prospect. I'd actually prefer Joe Tippmann. Maybe a little taller than you'd like, I want interior linemen who can move and he is one of the most athletic centers in the draft. Avila has the guard-center capability and Oluwatimi will probably go later than he should.
Defensive Line
Another area where the Steelers did their homework. If they want a guy in the Heyward/Tuitt mold, Bresee should be the pick. Has upside as a run defender and pass rusher. Like Heyward, I believe he'll take a few years to settle in, but if Bresee lives up to his potential, he can be very good. Mazi Smith is a tradition interior run stopper and the Steelers like Michigan players. They also like Wisconsin defenders and Keeanu Benton may be the ideal defensive lineman for this team. He offers the most potential for an IDL at generating pressure. Dexter did get some press with the Steelers, I just think he's a bit of a project. Ika has me concern because of his weight, but if he falls to the fourth I'd consider him.
Edge
Another area of focus for the Steelers and so many different options.
1.17 - Nolan Smith (super athletic), Myles Murphy (huge, but in the Steelers mold), Van Ness (limited area, will he play EDGE or DL, not as high on him), Will McDonald (sleeper pick at 17)
The second round is where the move could be made. Tuipulotu, Keion White (maybe DL?) has been predicted from the PG writers, Anudike-Uzomah are all options. Derick Hall may be the best option and one who could fall to 49. A third pass rusher would really help this defense.
Linebacker
Please don't take one in the first round or at 32. It's just not a great class. Jack Campbell is my favorite option and I wouldn't take him until 49. He's a three-down player with a high ceiling, but also a high floor. Drew Sanders has the inside/outside versatility, which Tomlin likes, but his missed tackle rate is high. You know they'll love Trenton Simpson, I just don't think he'll play to his athleticism and if too much is on his plate too early, he'll be a bust.
Cornerback
OT, DL, EDGE, and CB are the top four positions the Steelers have scouted. We already know this is the deepest, which eases the need to force a cornerback at 17. Gonzalez has the highest upside and will likely be a top-10 pick and probably the same with Witherspoon. Joey Porter Jr. is not a clean prospect and will be a work in progress to fit in with the Steelers defense. I'd be okay with him at 32, just not sure I'd go that way at 17. Banks would be drafted on athleticism alone.
I've warmed up to the idea of going CB in the second and fourth. Guys I like include Cam Smith, DJ Turner (inside/outside versatility), Julius Brents early. Tyrique Stevenson scares me solely because of bad memories of Artie Burns and Kelee Ringo has a huge bust potential. Later on Garrett Williams would be a great pickup while a guy like Clark Phillips could fill the nickel role and he has great ball skills. Riley Moss and Mekhi Blackmon are two others I'd like.
Safety
This position is very thin. Brian Branch should get 17 or 32 consideration because he can play safety or the slot and the Steelers need that type of defender. Ji'Ayir Brown and Jartavius Martin are two mid-round prospects I'd consider.
Trade possibilities
1.17 - stand pat and take the talent available
2.32 - trade back and try to pick up an addition top-100 pick
My top-5 favorites (no specific order) for rounds 1-4:
1.17 - Broderick Jones, Darnell Wright, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Brian Branch, Myles Murphy
2.32 - Bryan Bresee, Mazi Smith, Cam Smith, Julius Brents, Jordan Addison
2.49 - Derick Hall, Darnell Washington, Joe Tippmann, Keeanu Benton, Jack Campbell
3.80 - Cedric Tillman, Marvin Mims, Darius Rush, Jartavius Martin, Clark Phillips
4.120 - Karl Brooks, Ji'Ayir Brown, Mekhi Blackmon, Jayden Reed, Riley Moss
Bold Predictions:
I'm very confident Mazi Smith, Keeanu Benton, Gervon Dexter, or Karl Brooks will be a Steeler and they'll take two cornerbacks.
Finally, based on pre-draft visits and assuming the Steelers draft trends stay the same as they were under Colbert, I am confident one of these players (I know, a ton of options) will be selected at 17 (assuming no trade) on Thursday night:
-Paris Johnson Jr.
-Broderick Jones
-Darnell Wright
-Jaxon Smith-Njigba
-Bryan Bresee
-Lukas Van Ness
-Myles Murphy
-Will McDonald
-Nolan Smith
-Trenton Simpson
-Joey Porter Jr.
-Brian Branch
Quarterback
I think a QB in round seven is a strong possibility. Dorian Thompson-Robinson, Stetson Bennett, Clayton Tune, or Jaren Hall are all guys I could see. I don't see him falling that far, but Jake Haener is my top choice for long-term developmental backup. The QB rankings are hard to read since there is a lot of variation depending on the analyst.
Running Back
With Harris and Warren, the Steelers shouldn't be in the running back market unless it is a clear best player available. This draft could have two first-round prospects with Robinson and Gibbs. It's too bad they don't need a RB because there's a lot of quality talent. Roschon Johnson could be a stud in the middle rounds and Israel Abanikanda has homerun hitting speed.
Wide Receiver
The acquisition of Allen Robinson eased the needs to draft a receiver. That wouldn't prevent me from drafting a receiver depending on the draft plays out.
1.17 - Jaxson Smith-Njigba
2.32 Jordan Addison, Zay Flowers
2.49 Josh Downs, Jonathan Mingo, Marvin Mims, Cedric Tillman
3.80 Jayden Reed
Tight End
It's a deep tight end class and while I understand the usefulness of a TE2, it's hard to prioritize the position too early. At the right spot, Darnell Washington, Sam LaPorta, Luke Schoonmaker, and Brenton Strange are all guys I'd be happy with.
Offensive Tackle
A top three need and a top three area of interest the Steelers had based on the predraft process. Paris Johnson is the most athletically gifted tackle, or the "lab built" tackle. There is talk of Skoronski to guard. I'm keep him at tackle and trusting him as a technician. Jones is going to be a work in progress and will struggle early, but has a huge upside. Darnell Wright is a ready-made starter, but likely at right tackle. Dawand Jones is another with a huge upside, but his size will be a concern in terms of staying in playing shape. Anton Harrison is the off-the-radar prospect, but should still be a good player. I'd be okay with any of these players at 17 or 32, definitely happier some with over others.
Interior Offensive Line
Despite acquiring Cole, Daniels, Seumalo, and Herbig, they still showed a lot of interest in IOL prospects in this year's draft. Torrence could be that massive road grader at guard. John Michael Schmitz is older, but just a solid prospect. I'd actually prefer Joe Tippmann. Maybe a little taller than you'd like, I want interior linemen who can move and he is one of the most athletic centers in the draft. Avila has the guard-center capability and Oluwatimi will probably go later than he should.
Defensive Line
Another area where the Steelers did their homework. If they want a guy in the Heyward/Tuitt mold, Bresee should be the pick. Has upside as a run defender and pass rusher. Like Heyward, I believe he'll take a few years to settle in, but if Bresee lives up to his potential, he can be very good. Mazi Smith is a tradition interior run stopper and the Steelers like Michigan players. They also like Wisconsin defenders and Keeanu Benton may be the ideal defensive lineman for this team. He offers the most potential for an IDL at generating pressure. Dexter did get some press with the Steelers, I just think he's a bit of a project. Ika has me concern because of his weight, but if he falls to the fourth I'd consider him.
Edge
Another area of focus for the Steelers and so many different options.
1.17 - Nolan Smith (super athletic), Myles Murphy (huge, but in the Steelers mold), Van Ness (limited area, will he play EDGE or DL, not as high on him), Will McDonald (sleeper pick at 17)
The second round is where the move could be made. Tuipulotu, Keion White (maybe DL?) has been predicted from the PG writers, Anudike-Uzomah are all options. Derick Hall may be the best option and one who could fall to 49. A third pass rusher would really help this defense.
Linebacker
Please don't take one in the first round or at 32. It's just not a great class. Jack Campbell is my favorite option and I wouldn't take him until 49. He's a three-down player with a high ceiling, but also a high floor. Drew Sanders has the inside/outside versatility, which Tomlin likes, but his missed tackle rate is high. You know they'll love Trenton Simpson, I just don't think he'll play to his athleticism and if too much is on his plate too early, he'll be a bust.
Cornerback
OT, DL, EDGE, and CB are the top four positions the Steelers have scouted. We already know this is the deepest, which eases the need to force a cornerback at 17. Gonzalez has the highest upside and will likely be a top-10 pick and probably the same with Witherspoon. Joey Porter Jr. is not a clean prospect and will be a work in progress to fit in with the Steelers defense. I'd be okay with him at 32, just not sure I'd go that way at 17. Banks would be drafted on athleticism alone.
I've warmed up to the idea of going CB in the second and fourth. Guys I like include Cam Smith, DJ Turner (inside/outside versatility), Julius Brents early. Tyrique Stevenson scares me solely because of bad memories of Artie Burns and Kelee Ringo has a huge bust potential. Later on Garrett Williams would be a great pickup while a guy like Clark Phillips could fill the nickel role and he has great ball skills. Riley Moss and Mekhi Blackmon are two others I'd like.
Safety
This position is very thin. Brian Branch should get 17 or 32 consideration because he can play safety or the slot and the Steelers need that type of defender. Ji'Ayir Brown and Jartavius Martin are two mid-round prospects I'd consider.
Trade possibilities
1.17 - stand pat and take the talent available
2.32 - trade back and try to pick up an addition top-100 pick
My top-5 favorites (no specific order) for rounds 1-4:
1.17 - Broderick Jones, Darnell Wright, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Brian Branch, Myles Murphy
2.32 - Bryan Bresee, Mazi Smith, Cam Smith, Julius Brents, Jordan Addison
2.49 - Derick Hall, Darnell Washington, Joe Tippmann, Keeanu Benton, Jack Campbell
3.80 - Cedric Tillman, Marvin Mims, Darius Rush, Jartavius Martin, Clark Phillips
4.120 - Karl Brooks, Ji'Ayir Brown, Mekhi Blackmon, Jayden Reed, Riley Moss
Bold Predictions:
I'm very confident Mazi Smith, Keeanu Benton, Gervon Dexter, or Karl Brooks will be a Steeler and they'll take two cornerbacks.
Finally, based on pre-draft visits and assuming the Steelers draft trends stay the same as they were under Colbert, I am confident one of these players (I know, a ton of options) will be selected at 17 (assuming no trade) on Thursday night:
-Paris Johnson Jr.
-Broderick Jones
-Darnell Wright
-Jaxon Smith-Njigba
-Bryan Bresee
-Lukas Van Ness
-Myles Murphy
-Will McDonald
-Nolan Smith
-Trenton Simpson
-Joey Porter Jr.
-Brian Branch