Yea, but long shot sometimes come through. Have you heard of Tom Brady? He was a 6th rounder who only ended up being the best QB ever. Not too shabby, 7 rings. But he's not the only long shot.
Tom Brady - 7 rings, nothing else needs said. The greatest QB to ever play.
Nick Foles - won a ring.
Kurt Warner - A nobody no one wanted, SBs and records.
Geno Smith
Brock Purdy - very last player drafted, not doing too bad.
Dak Prescott - not bad for a 4th rounder
Tony Romo
Warren Moon - Had to go to Canada to even play his first several year, ended up scoring leader in NFL for a few years.
Russ Wilson - won a SB, made it to another where he was ripped off. Not a 1st rounder.
Roger Staubach
Drew Brees - 2nd rounder who owns many records and a SB.
Doug Flutie - not bad for being drafted in the 11th round.
Ryan Fitzpatrick - Not bad for a 7th rounder.