...lots of talk about Fields these days, but lets face it, Wilson is going to be the starter, and there are a ton of potential positives there. Lets discuss them.
Full disclosure here, wilson has always been on my list of true franchise qbs, and Ive always felt he was likely headed to the hall of fame. That being said, im not certain if he is done in the league or not. He is 35 and many a franchise QB is done in their mid 30's...
First, though, lets look at the negatives that people talk about with him...
Obviously the age thing is big. Some guys of his style have played into their late 30's, but often have to adjust to a more pocket central mindset... Wilson did that a bit in 21 and 22... logging career low attempts those two seasons... while 21 was a good year for him, 22 was abysmal, and last season his rushing attempts rose to 80 again... the jury is out if he can keep scrambling 5 times a game in his later 30's.. and equally so if he can indeed adjust ...
The second thing is his size... at 5'11, he is really short for a starting qb... however.. he isnt a tiny guy... he plays at 215 and is stockier than a lot of small qbs... so he isnt injury prone...
he has been a very intelligent, instinctive and prepared passer... he has never had the interception problems most small passers have had... he is the rare exception of a small qb that can be an effective franchise qb.
The third critique sort of falls apart if you really break it down... that is the arguement that he doesnt challenge defenses with downfield throws the past few years. I think this point was driven by various media people with a bias against him. The league clearly went in that direction the past few years as defenses finally adjusted to modern passing games.. his YPA has dropped to around 7 the past two seasons, but that isnt bad.. his air yards per attempt was 4.3 in 22 and 3.8 last season... those are normal numbers for a modern passing game the past few seasons... those numbers are better than mahomes both seasons... its a bs criticism..
Now the one thing I am a bit worried about was that there were lots of examples of him acting entitled the past few seasons, as vet QBs are wont to do... it could be nothing... media haters lobbed stuff like that about Ben all the time... but it could be a sign that his competitive edge is dead and he is caught up in auxiliary matters that arent conductive to winning.... we will have to wait for the season and some adversity to hit to know where he lies
Now the good... when performing at normal levels for him, Wilson is an extremely effective player in a run first offense. He also excels with a primary wr to target downfield...
He is 4th all time in passer rating and has excellent TD and Int % numbers..
he is 8th all time in lowest int % and 15th all time in highest td%...
His career YPA is 12th all time
His completion% is 20th all time
Most importantly though his career 4th quarter comebacks is tied for 9th all time... this is critical for us
If we get a good version on Wilson, he is a winner and a great fit for us...
and there is a lot of incentive for him to do well here.. he has some magnificent numbers, but his passing yards totals are right in the borderline good but not great area... he is at 43,600. To get past that level of flaccos and palmers all he would have to do is play 3 more seasons and average his career low in passing and he would bypass Elway into sure thing hof guy.. really all he has to do is pass Warren moon and he is very likely in, which is basically two seasons of 3,000 yards for him...
Hopefully all the negatives are just bunk and we got a discount HOF qb here at least this season
Full disclosure here, wilson has always been on my list of true franchise qbs, and Ive always felt he was likely headed to the hall of fame. That being said, im not certain if he is done in the league or not. He is 35 and many a franchise QB is done in their mid 30's...
First, though, lets look at the negatives that people talk about with him...
Obviously the age thing is big. Some guys of his style have played into their late 30's, but often have to adjust to a more pocket central mindset... Wilson did that a bit in 21 and 22... logging career low attempts those two seasons... while 21 was a good year for him, 22 was abysmal, and last season his rushing attempts rose to 80 again... the jury is out if he can keep scrambling 5 times a game in his later 30's.. and equally so if he can indeed adjust ...
The second thing is his size... at 5'11, he is really short for a starting qb... however.. he isnt a tiny guy... he plays at 215 and is stockier than a lot of small qbs... so he isnt injury prone...
he has been a very intelligent, instinctive and prepared passer... he has never had the interception problems most small passers have had... he is the rare exception of a small qb that can be an effective franchise qb.
The third critique sort of falls apart if you really break it down... that is the arguement that he doesnt challenge defenses with downfield throws the past few years. I think this point was driven by various media people with a bias against him. The league clearly went in that direction the past few years as defenses finally adjusted to modern passing games.. his YPA has dropped to around 7 the past two seasons, but that isnt bad.. his air yards per attempt was 4.3 in 22 and 3.8 last season... those are normal numbers for a modern passing game the past few seasons... those numbers are better than mahomes both seasons... its a bs criticism..
Now the one thing I am a bit worried about was that there were lots of examples of him acting entitled the past few seasons, as vet QBs are wont to do... it could be nothing... media haters lobbed stuff like that about Ben all the time... but it could be a sign that his competitive edge is dead and he is caught up in auxiliary matters that arent conductive to winning.... we will have to wait for the season and some adversity to hit to know where he lies
Now the good... when performing at normal levels for him, Wilson is an extremely effective player in a run first offense. He also excels with a primary wr to target downfield...
He is 4th all time in passer rating and has excellent TD and Int % numbers..
he is 8th all time in lowest int % and 15th all time in highest td%...
His career YPA is 12th all time
His completion% is 20th all time
Most importantly though his career 4th quarter comebacks is tied for 9th all time... this is critical for us
If we get a good version on Wilson, he is a winner and a great fit for us...
and there is a lot of incentive for him to do well here.. he has some magnificent numbers, but his passing yards totals are right in the borderline good but not great area... he is at 43,600. To get past that level of flaccos and palmers all he would have to do is play 3 more seasons and average his career low in passing and he would bypass Elway into sure thing hof guy.. really all he has to do is pass Warren moon and he is very likely in, which is basically two seasons of 3,000 yards for him...
Hopefully all the negatives are just bunk and we got a discount HOF qb here at least this season